Gold price hangs near daily low, seems vulnerable to extend its corrective slide

• Gold price attracts some sellers on Friday, though the downside remains cushioned. 
• Bets for smaller Fed rate cuts revive the USD demand and weigh on the XAU/USD.
• Geopolitical risks and the US political uncertainty lend support to the precious metal. 

Gold price (XAU/USD) maintains its offered tone near the lower end of its daily range through the first half of the European session and is pressured by a combination of factors. The US Dollar (USD), for now, seems to have stalled its corrective pullback from a nearly three-month high touched on Thursday amid bets for smaller rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed). This, along with a generally positive risk tone, is seen undermining the safe-haven precious metal.

That said, a further downtick in the US Treasury bond yields is holding back the USD bulls from placing aggressive bets. Apart from this, the US political uncertainty ahead of the November 5 presidential election and a further escalation of tensions in the Middle East might offer some support to the Gold price. Traders now look forward to the US macro data – Durable Goods Orders and the revised Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for short-term opportunities.

Daily Digest Market Movers: Gold price shows signs of bullish exhaustion  amid smaller Fed rate cut bets, positive risk tone

• The US Dollar stalls the overnight retracement slide from a nearly three-month top amid bets for smaller rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and prompts fresh selling around the Gold price on Friday. 
• Traders no longer expect another oversized interest rate cut by the Fed at its November monetary policy meeting as the incoming US macro data suggested that the economy remains on strong footing. 
• This, along with deficit-spending concerns after the US presidential election, led to a sell-off in the US bond market and lifted the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield to a three-month top on Wednesday.
• The latest poll shows a tight race between Vice President Kamala Harris and the Republican nominee Donald Trump, which, along with geopolitical risks, could offer support to the safe-haven XAU/USD.
• Israel continued with its military assault on Iranian-backed Hezbollah in Lebanon and intensified a siege on northern parts of Gaza, raising the risk of a further escalation of tensions in the Middle East. 
• Traders now look to Friday's US economic docket – featuring the release of Durable Goods Orders and the revised Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index – for short-term impetus heading into the weekend.

Technical Outlook: Gold price needs to break below $2,705 neckline support to confirm bearish head-and-shoulders pattern

From a technical perspective, the recent price action over the past week or so constitutes the formation of a bearish head and shoulders pattern on short-term charts. The neckline support of the said pattern is pegged near the $2,705 region, which should now act as an immediate strong support. Some follow-through selling, leading to a subsequent fall below the $2,700 mark, should pave the way for deeper losses and drag the Gold price further towards the $2,675 support. The downfall could extend further towards the bearish pattern target near the $2,660 area.

On the flip side, the $2,640-2,645 region now seems to have emerged as an immediate strong barrier. Meanwhile, a sustained strength beyond will negate the head-and-shoulders pattern and allow the Gold price to aim towards challenging the all-time peak, around the $2,658-2,659 area touched earlier this week. The subsequent move up could lift the XAU/USD towards the $2,770 zone, representing a nearly four-month-old ascending trend-line resistance, en route to the $2,800 round-figure mark.