Gold price maintains its bid tone above $2,730 level, bulls seem non-committed


  • Gold regains positive traction and reverses a part of the previous day's retracement slide.
  • Geopolitical risks and the US political uncertainty benefit the safe-haven precious metal.
  • Retreating US bond yields prompts USD profit-taking and also underpins the commodity.

Gold price (XAU/USD) attracts some dip-buying on Thursday and reverses a part of the previous day's retracement slide from the $2,760 area, or a fresh all-time peak. The risk of a further escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, along with the US political uncertainty, turns out to be key factors offering some support to the safe-haven commodity. Furthermore, a modest pullback in the US Treasury bond yields prompts some US Dollar (USD) profit-taking slide and further benefits the non-yielding yellow metal.

The intraday move up pushes the Gold price to the $2,736-$2,737 area during the early European session, though expectations of a less aggressive policy easing by the Federal Reserve (Fed) keep a lid on any further gains. Furthermore, concerns about bigger fiscal deficits after the November 5 US Presidential election should limit the downside for the US bond yields. This, in turn, warrants some caution before placing fresh bullish bets around the XAU/USD and positioning for the resumption of the recent well-established uptrend. 

Daily Digest Market Movers: Gold price remains supported by anxiety over US election, Middle East tensions

  • The US Dollar and the US Treasury bond yields shot to their highest level in three months, triggering an intraday profit-taking slide in the Gold price on Wednesday. 
  • The incoming robust US macro data suggested that the economy remains on strong footing and dampened hopes for a more aggressive easing by the Federal Reserve.
  • Furthermore, the recent comments from a slew of influential Fed officials suggested the central bank will proceed with modest interest rate cuts over the next year. 
  • The CME Group's FedWatch Tool indicates that traders are pricing in over a 90% chance that the Fed will lower borrowing costs by 25 basis points in November.
  • Meanwhile, the odds of former President Donald Trump winning the November 5 US Presidential election fuel speculations about the launch of inflation-generating tariffs.
  • Investors remain concerned that the spending plans of both Vice President Kamala Harris and the Republican nominee Donald Trump will further increase the deficit.
  • The Israeli military carried out air strikes in southern Lebanon and Beirut’s suburbs after Hezbollah fired rockets at two bases near Tel Aviv and west of Haifa.
  • This comes on top of the impending Israeli strike against Iran, in retaliation to the latter's ballistic missile attack on October 1 and lends support to the XAU/USD.

Technical Outlook: Gold price might struggle to capitalize on intraday gains, $2,700 holds the key for bulls

From a technical perspective, the overnight breakdown below a short-term ascending trend-channel support could be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders. Moreover, negative oscillators on hourly charts suggest that the path of least resistance for the Gold price is to the downside. That said, it will still be prudent to wait for a convincing break below the $2,700 mark before positioning for any further losses. The XAU/USD might then accelerate the corrective decline towards the $2,685 intermediate support en route to the $2,672-2,670 strong horizontal resistance breakpoint.

On the flip side, the ascending channel support breakpoint, around the $2,730-2,732 area, now seems to act as an immediate hurdle. The next relevant resistance is pegged near the $2,750 region, above which the Gold price could resume its well-established uptrend and climb further towards the $2,770-2,775 zone before aiming to conquer the $2,800 round-figure mark.

Gold FAQs

Gold has played a key role in human’s history as it has been widely used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Currently, apart from its shine and usage for jewelry, the precious metal is widely seen as a safe-haven asset, meaning that it is considered a good investment during turbulent times. Gold is also widely seen as a hedge against inflation and against depreciating currencies as it doesn’t rely on any specific issuer or government.

Central banks are the biggest Gold holders. In their aim to support their currencies in turbulent times, central banks tend to diversify their reserves and buy Gold to improve the perceived strength of the economy and the currency. High Gold reserves can be a source of trust for a country’s solvency. Central banks added 1,136 tonnes of Gold worth around $70 billion to their reserves in 2022, according to data from the World Gold Council. This is the highest yearly purchase since records began. Central banks from emerging economies such as China, India and Turkey are quickly increasing their Gold reserves.

Gold has an inverse correlation with the US Dollar and US Treasuries, which are both major reserve and safe-haven assets. When the Dollar depreciates, Gold tends to rise, enabling investors and central banks to diversify their assets in turbulent times. Gold is also inversely correlated with risk assets. A rally in the stock market tends to weaken Gold price, while sell-offs in riskier markets tend to favor the precious metal.

The price can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can quickly make Gold price escalate due to its safe-haven status. As a yield-less asset, Gold tends to rise with lower interest rates, while higher cost of money usually weighs down on the yellow metal. Still, most moves depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAU/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Gold controlled, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to push Gold prices up.

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD holds steady above 1.0800, looks to post weekly losses

EUR/USD holds steady above 1.0800, looks to post weekly losses

EUR/USD trades marginally higher on the day above 1.0800 after the data from the US showed that Durable Goods Orders declined by 0.8% in September. Nevertheless, the pair remains on track to close the fourth consecutive week in negative territory.

EUR/USD News
GBP/USD extends recovery to 1.3000 area

GBP/USD extends recovery to 1.3000 area

GBP/USD extends its recovery and trades at around 1.3000 in the American session on Friday. The US Dollar struggles to gather strength as the market mood remains positive heading into the weekend, allowing the pair to hold its ground.

GBP/USD News
Gold fluctuates in narrow range below $2,750

Gold fluctuates in narrow range below $2,750

Gold stays in a consolidation phase and fluctuates in a relatively tight range below $2,750 on Friday. US Treasury bond yields stabilize in the American session, making it difficult for XAU/USD to gather directional momentum.

Gold News
Crypto Today: XRP, Bitcoin and Ethereum decline as Ripple files response to SEC appeal

Crypto Today: XRP, Bitcoin and Ethereum decline as Ripple files response to SEC appeal

XRP loses over 1.30% as Ripple's executive confirms the filing of an important document in the appeals process in the SEC lawsuit. Bitcoin corrects less than 1% and sustains above $67,500. Ethereum is down nearly 0.20%, holding above the key support level of $2,500.

Read more
US elections: The race to the White House tightens

US elections: The race to the White House tightens

Trump closes in on Harris’s lead in the polls. Neck and neck race spurs market jitters. Outcome still hinges on battleground states.

Read more
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.

Read More

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures