Gold price bulls await move beyond 50-day SMA pivotal resistance ahead of FOMC minutes

• Gold price attracts some dip-buyers on Wednesday, albeit the upside remains limited.
• Traders wait for more cues about the Fed’s rate-cut path before placing directional bets.
• The market focus remains glued to the release of the FOMC meeting minutes later today.

Gold price (XAU/USD) edges higher during the Asian session on Wednesday and looks to build on the previous day's bounce from the $2,319-2,318 support zone. The commodity, however, remains confined in a familiar trading range below 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) pivotal resistance as traders prefer to wait for more cues about the Federal Reserve's (Fed) policy path before placing fresh directional bets. Hence, the focus remains on the release of the FOMC meeting minutes later today. This, along with the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report on Friday, might influence expectations about the Fed's future policy decisions, which will drive the US Dollar (USD) and provide a fresh impetus to the non-yielding yellow metal.

In the meantime, growing acceptance that the Fed is more likely to cut interest rates at the September meeting and again lower borrowing costs in December acts as a tailwind for the Gold price. The bets were reaffirmed by dovish-sounding remarks by Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Tuesday, which, along with a modest downtick in the US Treasury bond yields, keeps the USD bulls on the defensive. Apart from this, concerns over a slowdown in global economic growth, persistent geopolitical tensions, along with political uncertainty in the US and Europe, should lend support to the safe-haven precious metal. Traders now look to the US macro data – the ADP report on private-sector employment and the ISM Services PMI – for some impetus.

Daily Digest Market Movers: Gold price draws some support from September Fed rate cut bets, lacks bullish conviction

• Investors opt to wait on the sidelines and seek more clarity about the Federal Reserve's rate-cut path, leading to subdued range-bound price action around the Gold price for the fourth straight day on Wednesday.
• Fed Chair Jerome Powell expressed satisfaction with the progress on inflation but said that he wants to be more confident that it is moving sustainably down toward 2% before starting the process of reducing rates.
• The markets are currently pricing in a greater chance that the Fed will lower borrowing costs in September and the possibility of another rate cut in December, triggering a pullback in the US Treasury bond yields.
• The yield on the benchmark 10-year US government bond retreats further from a one-month high touched on Monday, which keeps the US Dollar bulls on the defensive and acts as a tailwind for the commodity. 
• This overshadowed the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, or JOLTS report that showed US job openings rose to 8.140 million on the last day of May from April’s downwardly revised figure of 7.092 million.
• Expectations that a Trump presidency would lead to higher tariffs, and government borrowing and be more inflationary than the Biden administration should limit the downside for the US bond yields, in turn, the USD.
• Investors now look forward to the release of the FOMC meeting minutes, due later today, for some meaningful impetus ahead of the closely-watched US monthly employment details, or the NFP report on Friday.
• Wednesday's US economic docket also highlights the release of the ADP report on private-sector employment and ISM Services PMI, which might influence the USD and produce short-term opportunities around the metal.

Technical Analysis: Gold price needs to find acceptance above the 50-day SMA for bulls to seize near-term control

From a technical perspective, the recent range-bound price action points to indecision among traders over the near-term trajectory. Moreover, neutral oscillators on the daily chart further warrant caution before placing aggressive directional bets. Meanwhile, the 50-day SMA, currently pegged near the $2,340 area, might continue to act as an immediate hurdle ahead of the late June swing high, around the $2,365-2,370 region. Some follow-through buying should allow bulls to reclaim the $2,400 round-figure mark and aim towards challenging the all-time peak, around the $2,450 area touched in May.

On the flip side, the $2,319-2,318 area now seems to have emerged as immediate strong support ahead of the $2,300 mark and the $2,285 horizontal zone. A convincing break below the latter will be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders and make the Gold price vulnerable to accelerate the fall further towards the 100-day SMA, currently near the $2,258 region. The metal could extend the downward trajectory further towards the $2,225-2,220 region before eventually dropping to the $2,200 round-figure mark.