- Gold price struggles to defend bulls despite snapping two-day downtrend.
- Mixed sentiment, sluggish yields challenge XAUUSD bears during the first negative week in three.
- Light calendar requires traders to keep their eyes on the risk catalysts for fresh impulse.
Gold price (XAUUSD) remains sidelined around $1,765 as the latest recovery fails to convince buyers during early Friday.
The reason could be linked to the recently hawkish statements from the Federal Reserve officials, as well as challenges to sentiment from China. However, a lack of major data/events and global policymakers’ readiness to tame recession woes tease the XAUUSD buyers.
On Thursday, St. Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard and Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President Neel Kashkari challenged the market’s pre-established views on the Fed’s next rate hikes, mostly in favor of the 50 bps moves. The reason could be linked to the strong Retail Sales and Producer Price Index (PPI) data.
Following the hawkish Fedspeak, the US 10-year Treasury yields recovered from the six-week low and marked the biggest difference with the two-year counterpart since the 1980s, suggesting the recession woes. That said, the recent easing in the Fed bets favoring a 50 bps rate hike in December, as well as the increase in the wagers supporting the 75 bps move, also weighs on the Gold price.
Furthermore, China’s failure to please traders, despite expecting higher growth in the next years, joins geopolitical woes surrounding Russia to keep the Gold sellers hopeful.
However, a light calendar and optimistic comments from the policymakers of Japan and China challenge the XAUUSD bears of late, making it doubtful.
Technical analysis
Despite the latest rebound, the Gold price holds onto Wednesday’s bearish break of a two-week-old ascending trend channel, which in turn keeps sellers hopeful.
Also signaling the XAUUSD downside are the bearish MACD signals and the quote’s recent inability to cross the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the metal’s August-September downside.
That said, the Gold sellers may wait for a downside break of the latest swing low, around $1,755, for conviction before targeting the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $1,733.
On the contrary, an upside clearance of the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of $1,766 won’t hesitate to recall the $1,800 threshold back to the chart.
Gold price: Four-hour chart
Trend: Further weakness expected
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD stays near 1.0400 in thin holiday trading
EUR/USD trades with mild losses near 1.0400 on Tuesday. The expectation that the US Federal Reserve will deliver fewer rate cuts in 2025 provides some support for the US Dollar. Trading volumes are likely to remain low heading into the Christmas break.
GBP/USD struggles to find direction, holds steady near 1.2550
GBP/USD consolidates in a range at around 1.2550 on Tuesday after closing in negative territory on Monday. The US Dollar preserves its strength and makes it difficult for the pair to gain traction as trading conditions thin out on Christmas Eve.
Gold holds above $2,600, bulls non-committed on hawkish Fed outlook
Gold trades in a narrow channel above $2,600 on Tuesday, albeit lacking strong follow-through buying. Geopolitical tensions and trade war fears lend support to the safe-haven XAU/USD, while the Fed’s hawkish shift acts as a tailwind for the USD and caps the precious metal.
IRS says crypto staking should be taxed in response to lawsuit
In a filing on Monday, the US International Revenue Service stated that the rewards gotten from staking cryptocurrencies should be taxed, responding to a lawsuit from couple Joshua and Jessica Jarrett.
2025 outlook: What is next for developed economies and currencies?
As the door closes in 2024, and while the year feels like it has passed in the blink of an eye, a lot has happened. If I had to summarise it all in four words, it would be: ‘a year of surprises’.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.