Gold Price Forecast: XAUUSD treads water around $1,740 amid USD strength


  • Gold Price trades on the defensive after Friday’s positive close.
  • US NFP beat trigger two-way businesses in the yellow metal.
  • XAUUSD hovers near nine-month lows, with eyes on US inflation.

Gold Price is moving back and forth in a familiar range around the $1,740 level, as the US dollar sees fresh buying at the start of the week. Investors digest Friday’s stellar US Nonfarm Payrolls report while assessing the Fed rate hike expectations.

The US economy added 372,000 jobs in June vs. expectations of 268,000 addition while the Unemployment Rate steadied at 3.6%. The solid US labor market offered a tailwind to the aggressive Fed tightening expectations, keeping the sentiment around the dollar buoyed.

Moreover, the risk-off mood in Asian trading, with the renewed concerns over Chinese covid lockdowns and their impact on global growth, added to the greenback’s strength.

Although the retreat in the US 10-year Treasury yields from multi-day highs helps cushion the downside in the bright metal. Persistent risk-off flows boost the safe-haven appeal of the American government bonds, dragging yields lower.

Meanwhile, markets grieve over the shocking assassination of the former Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe. Further, a sense of caution prevails ahead of the critical US inflation data due later this week, which leaves gold bulls in the back seat.

In the meantime, the Fed sentiment and recession fears will continue to influence the broader market theme, eventually impacting the dollar valuations and gold price action. The US economic calendar remains light on Monday; therefore, the focus will be on the Fed official Williams speech.

Gold Price: Daily chart

“On the upside, $1,765 (former support, static level) aligns as the first technical resistance ahead of $1,790 (former support, static level). On the downside, $1,730 (July 8 low) forms interim support ahead of $1,720 (static level) and $1,700 (psychological level),” FXStreet’s Senior Analyst, Eren Sengezer explained in his gold weekly forecast.

Gold Price: Additional levels to consider

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1741.74
Today Daily Change -0.78
Today Daily Change % -0.04
Today daily open 1742.56
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1809.35
Daily SMA50 1833.74
Daily SMA100 1885.92
Daily SMA200 1845.84
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1752.49
Previous Daily Low 1730.73
Previous Weekly High 1814.37
Previous Weekly Low 1730.73
Previous Monthly High 1879.26
Previous Monthly Low 1802.79
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1744.18
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1739.04
Daily Pivot Point S1 1731.36
Daily Pivot Point S2 1720.17
Daily Pivot Point S3 1709.6
Daily Pivot Point R1 1753.12
Daily Pivot Point R2 1763.69
Daily Pivot Point R3 1774.88

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

XM
Account
7.2
Tools
9.2
Service
9.4
Trading
9.0
Trust
7.0
Experience
8.4
Read review
Moneta Markets
Account
7.4
Tools
6.6
Service
8.0
Trading
6.6
Trust
5.2
Experience
9.2
Read review
Trading Pro
Account
7.2
Tools
5.2
Service
6.6
Trading
8.0
Trust
5.0
Experience
7.0
Read review
Pepperstone
Account
8.2
Tools
8.2
Service
7.4
Trading
9.0
Trust
8.8
Experience
9.0
Read review
XM
Read review
Moneta Markets
Read review
Trading Pro
Read review
Pepperstone
Read review
Trading Pro
Read review
Pepperstone
Read review
XM
Read review
Moneta Markets
Read review
Trading Pro
Account
7.2
Tools
5.2
Service
6.6
Trading
8.0
Trust
5.0
Experience
7.0
Read review
Pepperstone
Account
8.2
Tools
8.2
Service
7.4
Trading
9.0
Trust
8.8
Experience
9.0
Read review
XM
Account
7.2
Tools
9.2
Service
9.4
Trading
9.0
Trust
7.0
Experience
8.4
Read review
Moneta Markets
Account
7.4
Tools
6.6
Service
8.0
Trading
6.6
Trust
5.2
Experience
9.2
Read review

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

Gold moves to record highs past $3,340

Gold moves to record highs past $3,340 Premium

Gold now gathers extra steam and advances beyond the $3,340 mark per troy ounce on Wednesday, hitting all-time highs amid ongoing worries over escalating US-China trade tensions, a weaker US Dollar and lack of news from Powell's speech.

Gold News
Australian Dollar receives support from improved global risk mood, US Retail Sales eyed

Australian Dollar receives support from improved global risk mood, US Retail Sales eyed

The Australian Dollar extends its winning streak against the US Dollar for a sixth consecutive session on Wednesday, with the AUD/USD pair holding firm after the release of Australia’s Westpac Leading Index. The index’s six-month annualised growth rate eased to 0.6% in March from 0.9% in February.

AUD/USD News
EUR/USD remains in a consolidative range below 1.1400

EUR/USD remains in a consolidative range below 1.1400

EUR/USD navigates the latter part of Wednesday’s session with marked gains, although another test of the 1.1400 level remained elusive. The strong bounce in spot came on the back of a marked move lower in the US Dollar, which remained apathetic following the neutral stance from Chair Powell.

EUR/USD News
Bitcoin stabilizes around $83,000 as China opens trade talks with President Trump’s administration

Bitcoin stabilizes around $83,000 as China opens trade talks with President Trump’s administration

Bitcoin price stabilizes around $83,500 on Wednesday after facing multiple rejections around the 200-day EMA. Bloomberg reports that China is open to trade talks with President Trump’s administration.

Read more
Future-proofing portfolios: A playbook for tariff and recession risks

Future-proofing portfolios: A playbook for tariff and recession risks

It does seem like we will be talking tariffs for a while. And if tariffs stay — in some shape or form — even after negotiations, we’ll likely be talking about recession too. Higher input costs, persistent inflation, and tighter monetary policy are already weighing on global growth. 

Read more
The Best brokers to trade EUR/USD

The Best brokers to trade EUR/USD

SPONSORED Discover the top brokers for trading EUR/USD in 2025. Our list features brokers with competitive spreads, fast execution, and powerful platforms. Whether you're a beginner or an expert, find the right partner to navigate the dynamic Forex market.

Read More

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures

Best Brokers of 2025