Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD's bullish potential limited amid higher real yields – ANZ


Gold (XAU/USD) is facing pressure from higher real yields, as the US Federal Reserve gets closer to tapering its asset purchases. Furthermore, strong risk appetite is weighing on safe-haven investment, though retail investment remains strong, strategists at ANZ Bank report.

See – Gold Price Forecast: Further gains for XAU/USD may be limited – HSBC

Gold spot premium rising in India and China

“Higher real yields are capping gold’s upside. Downside risks to economic growth are increasing amid the ongoing power shortages, although risk appetite is holding up.”

“An appreciating US dollar is a headwind stirred up by the Fed’s tapering plans and the outlook for rates next year. An outperformance of US economic growth against other regions could lift the greenback.” 

“ETF holdings of gold are declining. Even so, investors have added some long positions in recent weeks. Retail investment is showing encouraging signs, with US eagle gold coin sales rebounding by 32% YTD.”

“Physical demand is recovering in China and India, with spot premium rebounding for both countries.”

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD trades at yearly lows below 1.0500 ahead of PMI data

EUR/USD trades at yearly lows below 1.0500 ahead of PMI data

EUR/USD stays on the back foot and trades at its lowest level since October 2023 below 1.0500 early Friday, pressured by persistent USD strength. Investors await Manufacturing and Services PMI surveys from the Eurozone, Germany and the US.

EUR/USD News
GBP/USD falls to six-month lows below 1.2600, eyes on key data releases

GBP/USD falls to six-month lows below 1.2600, eyes on key data releases

GBP/USD extends its losses for the third successive session and trades at a fresh fix-month low below 1.2600. This downside is attributed to the stronger US Dollar (USD) as traders continue to evaluate the Fed's policy outlook following latest data releases and Fedspeak.

GBP/USD News
Gold rises toward $2,700, hits two-week top

Gold rises toward $2,700, hits two-week top

Gold continues to attract haven flows for the fifth consecutive day and rises toward $2,700. XAU/USD continues to benefit from risk-aversion amid intensifying Russia-Ukraine conflict. Investors keep a close eye on geopolitics while waiting for PMI data releases. 

Gold News
Ethereum Price Forecast: ETH open interest surge to all-time high after recent price rally

Ethereum Price Forecast: ETH open interest surge to all-time high after recent price rally

Ethereum (ETH) is trading near $3,350, experiencing an 10% increase on Thursday. This price surge is attributed to strong bullish sentiment among derivatives traders, driving its open interest above $20 billion for the first time. 

Read more
A new horizon: The economic outlook in a new leadership and policy era

A new horizon: The economic outlook in a new leadership and policy era

The economic aftershocks of the COVID pandemic, which have dominated the economic landscape over the past few years, are steadily dissipating. These pandemic-induced economic effects are set to be largely supplanted by economic policy changes that are on the horizon in the United States.

Read more
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.

Read More

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures