Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD turns volatile, a pullback looks likely


  • Gold price has displayed wild moves after surrendering the critical support of $1,732.27.
  • The DXY has not displayed reversal signs and aims higher ahead of US Inflation.
  • The US Retail Sales are seen meaningfully higher at 0.8% than the prior print of -0.3%.

Gold price (XAU/USD) is displaying wild swings in the Asian session. The precious metal has gyrated in a tad wider range of $1,723.27-1,744.34 in the last two hours of the trading session. No wonder, the volatile move could be a make or break for the asset. Considering the move more precisely, this seems to be a responsive buying action, which takes place when the market participants find the asset a value bet and has soaked entire offers without much effort.

Meanwhile, the US dollar index (DXY) has faced profit-booking after printing a fresh 19-year high at 108.47. The DXY has delivered a stellar performance on expectations of a higher release of the inflation rate. A preliminary estimate for the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) is 8.8%, higher than the prior release of 8.6%. A higher than or within expectation release of the inflation rate will compel the Federal Reserve (Fed) to tighten its policy further and raise interest rates to 2.25-2.50%.

Apart from the US Inflation, US Retail Sales also hold significant importance, which will release on Friday. The economic data is seen meaningfully higher at 0.8% than the prior print of -0.3%.

Gold technical analysis

On an intraday scale, the gold prices have witnessed a V-shape recovery after hitting a low of. This V-shape recovery indicates a responsive buying action and is followed by a pullback move. The precious metal has reclaimed the crucial support placed from the previous week’s low at $1,732.27.  The bright metal has also attacked the 200-EMA at $1,740.00, however, it failed to sustain above the same. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has returned to the 40.00-60.00 range.

Gold intraday chart

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1734.62
Today Daily Change 0.56
Today Daily Change % 0.03
Today daily open 1734.06
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1805.09
Daily SMA50 1831.16
Daily SMA100 1884.29
Daily SMA200 1845.7
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1744.73
Previous Daily Low 1731.33
Previous Weekly High 1814.37
Previous Weekly Low 1730.73
Previous Monthly High 1879.26
Previous Monthly Low 1802.79
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1736.45
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1739.61
Daily Pivot Point S1 1728.68
Daily Pivot Point S2 1723.31
Daily Pivot Point S3 1715.28
Daily Pivot Point R1 1742.08
Daily Pivot Point R2 1750.11
Daily Pivot Point R3 1755.48

 

 

 

 

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