Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD trades mildly lower and closes a losing week after US PCE figures


  • The XAU/USD experiences a slight decrease, holding slightly above $2,018 with a minor pullback.
  • Key indicators such as RSI and MACD demonstrate a subdued buying momentum, as bulls consolidate December’s rally.

On Friday's session, the XAU/USD was seen trading at $2,018, presenting a slight decline of 0.08% and closing a 0.55% weekly loss. After reaching a level of $2,135 in December, buyers have been largely taking a pause, suggesting a neutral to a bullish outlook on the daily chart. Despite some momentum observed in the four-hour chart, the indicators remain relatively weak.

In addition, the USD recovery fueled by markets adjusting their bets on the Federal Reserve (Fed) due to the US economy showing resilience is pushing the metal lower. On Friday, soft Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) figures from December from the US didn’t fuel a significant reaction to the market expectations on the Fed which meets next week. As for now, markets pushed the start of the easing cycle to May from March but the Fed's tone may change those expectations.

XAU/USD levels to watch

The technical indicators on the daily chart, specifically the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the position of the metal regarding its 20, 100, and 200 Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) paint a diverse picture. Despite the RSI showing a negative slope and currently residing in negative territory, the price manages to stay above the 20, 100, and 200-day SMAs. This is indicative of bullish standing in the broader time frame, and the recent pullback could be explained by the bulls taking a breather after pushing the price to a high of $2,135 in December.

Drilling down to the narrower four-hour chart, the momentum indicators present weak yet existent bullish undertones. The four-hour RSI shows a negative slope but is currently in positive territory, while the four-hour Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) continues to produce flat red bars, again suggesting a hold on bearish momentum.

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 2018.63
Today Daily Change -1.53
Today Daily Change % -0.08
Today daily open 2020.16
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 2034.39
Daily SMA50 2028.83
Daily SMA100 1977.49
Daily SMA200 1964.39
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 2025.39
Previous Daily Low 2009.65
Previous Weekly High 2058.67
Previous Weekly Low 2001.9
Previous Monthly High 2144.48
Previous Monthly Low 1973.13
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 2019.38
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 2015.66
Daily Pivot Point S1 2011.41
Daily Pivot Point S2 2002.66
Daily Pivot Point S3 1995.67
Daily Pivot Point R1 2027.15
Daily Pivot Point R2 2034.14
Daily Pivot Point R3 2042.89

 

XAU/USD daily chart

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD stays below 1.0550 ahead of US data

EUR/USD stays below 1.0550 ahead of US data

EUR/USD trades in the red below 1.0550 as investors await macroeconomic data releases from the US. The pair faces headwinds from risk-off flows due to rising geopolitical conflict between Russia and Ukraine and worries over the potential US tariffs on the EU. 

EUR/USD News
GBP/USD pressured toward 1.2600, eyes on US data and Fedspeak

GBP/USD pressured toward 1.2600, eyes on US data and Fedspeak

GBP/USD stays on the back foot and trades below 1.2650 on Thursday. The pair's underperformance could be attributed to a risk-aversion market environment. Traders stay cautious amid rife geopolitical tensions ahead of mid-tier US data and Fedspeak. 

GBP/USD News
Gold price extends gains beyond $2,650 amid rising geopolitical risks

Gold price extends gains beyond $2,650 amid rising geopolitical risks

Gold price extends its bullish momentum further above $2,650 in Thursday's European session. Gold price risies for the fourth straight day, sponsored by geopolitical risks stemming from the worsening Russia-Ukraine war. US data and Fedspeak are next in focus. 

Gold News
BTC hits an all-time high above $97,850, inches away from the $100K mark

BTC hits an all-time high above $97,850, inches away from the $100K mark

Bitcoin hit a new all-time high of $97,852 on Thursday, and the technical outlook suggests a possible continuation of the rally to $100,000. BTC futures have surged past the $100,000 price mark on Deribit, and Lookonchain data shows whales are accumulating.

Read more
A new horizon: The economic outlook in a new leadership and policy era

A new horizon: The economic outlook in a new leadership and policy era

The economic aftershocks of the COVID pandemic, which have dominated the economic landscape over the past few years, are steadily dissipating. These pandemic-induced economic effects are set to be largely supplanted by economic policy changes that are on the horizon in the United States.

Read more
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.

Read More

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures