Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD still inside the woods, $1,730 a key support


  • Gold price is looking to come out of the woods by surrendering the critical support of $1,730.00.
  • The DXY has printed a fresh 19-year high at 108.27 on expectations for higher US Inflation.
  • Soaring expectations for lower earnings by the corporate have underpinned the risk-off market mood.

Gold price (XAU/USD) has established below $1,740.00 but is still inside the woods. The precious metal is witnessing back-and-forth moves in a range of $1,730.73-1,752.49 from the past three trading sessions. The bright metal is displaying subdued performance and the volatility prior to the release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) is expected to drag the asset below the critical support of $1,730.00.

As per the market consensus, the plain-vanilla CPI is seen minutely higher at 8.7% than the prior release of 8.6%. However, the core CPI that excludes food products and oil prices may drop to 5.7% vs. 6% reported earlier. This signifies that durable goods, automobiles, and other commodities are displaying the impact of policy restrictive measures, which have adopted by the Federal Reserve (Fed) earlier. However, the volatile food and fossil fuels are still not responding.

Meanwhile, the US dollar index (DXY) printed a fresh 19-year high at 108.27 on Monday amid a souring market mood. Escalating odds for one more bumper rate hike by the Fed are bolstering the case for lower earnings by the corporate.  The unavailability of cheap money in the economy has forced the corporate sector to put an extra lens on investment opportunities.

Gold technical analysis

On an hourly scale, the gold prices are on the verge of giving a downside break of the consolidation formed in a $1,730.73-1,752.49 range. The 20- and 50-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) at $1,737.04 and $1,740.86 respectively have started declining, which adds to the downside filters. Also, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is looking to surrender the cushion of 40.00 to add volatility to the counter.

Gold hourly chart

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1734.06
Today Daily Change -8.50
Today Daily Change % -0.49
Today daily open 1742.56
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1809.35
Daily SMA50 1833.74
Daily SMA100 1885.92
Daily SMA200 1845.84
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1752.49
Previous Daily Low 1730.73
Previous Weekly High 1814.37
Previous Weekly Low 1730.73
Previous Monthly High 1879.26
Previous Monthly Low 1802.79
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1744.18
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1739.04
Daily Pivot Point S1 1731.36
Daily Pivot Point S2 1720.17
Daily Pivot Point S3 1709.6
Daily Pivot Point R1 1753.12
Daily Pivot Point R2 1763.69
Daily Pivot Point R3 1774.88

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

AUD/USD recovers above 0.6200 on upbeat Chinese PMI data

AUD/USD recovers above 0.6200 on upbeat Chinese PMI data

The AUD/USD pair recovers some lost ground to near 0.6215, snapping the six-day losing streak during the early Asian session on Monday. The upbeat Chinese economic data provides some support to the pair. 

AUD/USD News
EUR/USD: More Trump trade war and the ECB in the docket

EUR/USD: More Trump trade war and the ECB in the docket

After trading choppily for most of the week, the EUR/USD pair plummeted on Thursday, bottoming early Friday at 1.0379, its lowest in over two weeks. It got to bounce modestly from the level ahead of the close, settling at around 1.0400.

EUR/USD News
Gold: Bulls finally let go as key support fails

Gold: Bulls finally let go as key support fails

Gold turned south after setting a new all-time high to begin the week. Investors will remain focused on Trump tariff talks ahead of February US employment data. The technical outlook points to a bearish reversal in the near term.

Gold News
Week ahead: NFP and ECB to steal the show

Week ahead: NFP and ECB to steal the show

NFP take center stage amid DOGE layoffs. ECB decides monetary policy after CPI data. Canada jobs report and RBA minutes also on tap.

Read more
Weekly focus – Tariff fears are back on the agenda

Weekly focus – Tariff fears are back on the agenda

While the timing of the EU measures remains still uncertain, Trump surprised markets on Thursday by signalling that the 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico will be enacted when the one-month delay runs out next Tuesday. 

Read more
The Best brokers to trade EUR/USD

The Best brokers to trade EUR/USD

SPONSORED Discover the top brokers for trading EUR/USD in 2025. Our list features brokers with competitive spreads, fast execution, and powerful platforms. Whether you're a beginner or an expert, find the right partner to navigate the dynamic Forex market.

Read More

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures

Best Brokers of 2025