Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD stabilizes below $1,960 as USD Index refreshes day high, US Durables eyed


  • Gold price has shifted its auction below $1,960.00 amid sheer strength in the USD Index.
  • Fed policymakers believe that further rate hike in June is ‘less certain’ due to the banking fiasco.
  • Gold price is forming an Inverted Flag pattern, which is a trend continuation pattern in which a long consolidation is followed by a breakdown.

Gold price (XAU/USD) has shifted its placement below $1,960.00 in the Asian session. The precious metal is looking to deliver more downside as the US Dollar Index (DXY) is looking to refresh its 10-week high to 104.00 ahead. The USD Index has shown immense strength as US debt-ceiling issues are not resolved despite long negotiations among the White House and Republican leaders.

S&P500 futures are holding significant gains in the Asian session. US equities have not carry-forwarded weak cues witnessed on Wednesday. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has refreshed its day’s high at 103.92 as uncertainty for US borrowing cap issues is escalating.

US House of Representatives Kevin McCarthy refused to support additional taxes for the Wealthy community and higher budget spending, which has delayed issues further, however, he remained confident that a bipartisan will be reached.

Gold price has failed to capitalize on dovish cues for interest rate guidance in the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes. Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers believe that further rate hike in June is ‘less certain’ due to a potential banking fiasco.

Later this week, US Durable Goods Orders data will be keenly watched. The economic data is seen contracting by 1.0% vs. an expansion of 3.2%.

Gold technical analysis

Gold price is forming an Inverted Flag chart pattern on a four-hour scale, which is a trend continuation pattern in which a long consolidation is followed by a breakdown. The Gold price is hovering above the horizontal support plotted from April 03 low at $1,949.83.

The 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1,969.26 is barricading the Gold price from any rally.

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has slipped below 40.00, which indicates that the downside momentum is warranted.

Gold four-hour chart

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1959.47
Today Daily Change 2.36
Today Daily Change % 0.12
Today daily open 1957.11
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 2001.08
Daily SMA50 1992.02
Daily SMA100 1933.1
Daily SMA200 1828.59
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1985.3
Previous Daily Low 1956.79
Previous Weekly High 2022.18
Previous Weekly Low 1952.01
Previous Monthly High 2048.75
Previous Monthly Low 1949.83
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1967.68
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1974.41
Daily Pivot Point S1 1947.5
Daily Pivot Point S2 1937.89
Daily Pivot Point S3 1918.99
Daily Pivot Point R1 1976.01
Daily Pivot Point R2 1994.91
Daily Pivot Point R3 2004.52

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

AUD/USD: The hunt for the 0.7000 hurdle

AUD/USD: The hunt for the 0.7000 hurdle

AUD/USD quickly left behind Wednesday’s strong pullback and rose markedly past the 0.6900 barrier on Thursday, boosted by news of fresh stimulus in China as well as renewed weakness in the US Dollar.

AUD/USD News
EUR/USD rebounds on Thursday after midweek pullback

EUR/USD rebounds on Thursday after midweek pullback

EUR/USD tuned back into the high end on Thursday, getting bolstered by a broad-market selloff in the Greenback. US data that printed better than expected helped to ease concerns of a possible economic slowdown within the US economy looming over the horizon.

EUR/USD News
Gold holding at higher ground at around $2,670

Gold holding at higher ground at around $2,670

Gold breaks to new high of $2,673 on Thursday. Falling interest rates globally, intensifying geopolitical conflicts and heightened Fed easing bets are the main factors. 

Gold News
Ethena Labs launches new UStb stablecoin backed by BlackRock's BUIDL token

Ethena Labs launches new UStb stablecoin backed by BlackRock's BUIDL token

Ethena Labs announced on Thursday that it has released a new stablecoin product, UStb. The new stablecoin will be fully collateralized by BlackRock's USD Institutional Digital Liquidity Fund and function similarly to a traditional stablecoin.

Read more
RBA widely expected to keep key interest rate unchanged amid persisting price pressures

RBA widely expected to keep key interest rate unchanged amid persisting price pressures

The Reserve Bank of Australia is likely to continue bucking the trend adopted by major central banks of the dovish policy pivot, opting to maintain the policy for the seventh consecutive meeting on Tuesday.

Read more
Five best Forex brokers in 2024

Five best Forex brokers in 2024

VERIFIED Choosing the best Forex broker in 2024 requires careful consideration of certain essential factors. With the wide array of options available, it is crucial to find a broker that aligns with your trading style, experience level, and financial goals. 

Read More

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures