Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD sets for action after sideways motion around $1,820 ahead of US PMI


  • Gold price is oscillating in a narrow range below $1,820.00 as investors await US Manufacturing PMI.
  • S&P500 futures have added more gains to Monday’s recovery, indicating an improvement in investors’ risk appetite.
  • The resilience observed in US consumer spending has forced the street to ramp up its terminal rate projections.

Gold price (XAU/USD) is demonstrating a sideways auction below $1,820.00 in the Asian session. The precious metal is expected to come out of the woods as investors are shifting their focus towards the United States ISM Manufacturing PMI (Feb), which is scheduled for Wednesday.

Investors should note that US Manufacturing PMI is contracting consecutively for the past three months. As per the consensus, the economic data is expected to contract again, however, the scale of contraction will be lower. The US Manufacturing PMI is seen at 48.0, lower than the former release of 47.4.

S&P500 futures have added more gains to Monday’s recovery in the Asian session, portraying an improvement in the risk appetite of the market participants. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is expected to demonstrate a volatility contraction till the release of the US ISM Manufacturing PMI data. The 10-year US Treasury yields are juggling around 3.92%.

Meanwhile, resilience observed in consumer spending (Feb) in the United States has forced the street to ramp up their terminal rate projections. A note from Bank of America (BofA) suggests Fed chair Jerome Powell announcing three more rate hikes this year considering the resilience in the demand-driven inflation. The BofA sees the terminal rate above 6% and recession appears more likely than a soft landing.

Gold technical analysis

Gold price is auctioning in a Falling Channel chart pattern in which every pullback is considered as a selling opportunity before a reversal move. The precious metal has sensed resistance around $1,820.00 after a minor pullback move.

The 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1,815.83 is providing a cushion to the Gold bulls.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is attempting to shift into the bullish range of 60.00-80.00.

Gold hourly chart

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1816.54
Today Daily Change -0.78
Today Daily Change % -0.04
Today daily open 1817.32
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1858.92
Daily SMA50 1865.96
Daily SMA100 1793.84
Daily SMA200 1775.83
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1820.21
Previous Daily Low 1806.66
Previous Weekly High 1847.59
Previous Weekly Low 1808.99
Previous Monthly High 1949.27
Previous Monthly Low 1823.76
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1815.03
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1811.84
Daily Pivot Point S1 1809.25
Daily Pivot Point S2 1801.18
Daily Pivot Point S3 1795.7
Daily Pivot Point R1 1822.8
Daily Pivot Point R2 1828.28
Daily Pivot Point R3 1836.35

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD extends recovery beyond 1.0400 amid Wall Street's turnaround

EUR/USD extends recovery beyond 1.0400 amid Wall Street's turnaround

EUR/USD extends its recovery beyond 1.0400, helped by the better performance of Wall Street and softer-than-anticipated United States PCE inflation. Profit-taking ahead of the winter holidays also takes its toll. 

 

EUR/USD News
GBP/USD nears 1.2600 on renewed USD weakness

GBP/USD nears 1.2600 on renewed USD weakness

GBP/USD extends its rebound from multi-month lows and approaches 1.2600. The US Dollar stays on the back foot after softer-than-expected PCE inflation data, helping the pair edge higher. Nevertheless, GBP/USD remains on track to end the week in negative territory.

GBP/USD News
Gold rises above $2,620 as US yields edge lower

Gold rises above $2,620 as US yields edge lower

Gold extends its daily rebound and trades above $2,620 on Friday. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield declines toward 4.5% following the PCE inflation data for November, helping XAU/USD stretch higher in the American session.

Gold News
Bitcoin crashes to $96,000, altcoins bleed: Top trades for sidelined buyers

Bitcoin crashes to $96,000, altcoins bleed: Top trades for sidelined buyers

Bitcoin (BTC) slipped under the $100,000 milestone and touched the $96,000 level briefly on Friday, a sharp decline that has also hit hard prices of other altcoins and particularly meme coins.

Read more
Bank of England stays on hold, but a dovish front is building

Bank of England stays on hold, but a dovish front is building

Bank of England rates were maintained at 4.75% today, in line with expectations. However, the 6-3 vote split sent a moderately dovish signal to markets, prompting some dovish repricing and a weaker pound. We remain more dovish than market pricing for 2025.

Read more
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.

Read More

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures