|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD drops below $1,970 as Fed expresses more rate hikes this year

  • Gold price has slipped sharply below $1,970.00 as the Fed's policy-tightening intension could delay but is far from over.
  •  Monday’s Biden-McCarthy meeting concluded without an agreement but remained constructive at best.
  • Gold price is anticipated to deliver a sheer downside after a breakdown below the demand zone placed in a range of $1,950-1,970.

Gold price (XAU/USD) has failed in defending its immediate support of $1,970.00 in the Asian session. The precious metal has dropped firmly as the Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers are confident that more interest rate hikes by the central bank are in the pipeline in the fight against stubborn United States inflation.

S&P500 futures have added more gains in the Asian session, portraying a strong recovery in the risk appetite. It seems that investors are confident that US President Joe Biden will get the US debt-ceiling increase ahead. However, Monday’s meeting between US Biden and House of Representatives Kevin McCarthy concluded without an agreement but remained constructive at best.

US Biden has called partisan terms from Republicans as ‘extreme’ as the latter is not allowing extra taxes on the Wealthy community despite Democrats getting ready for some spending cuts. Meanwhile, US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen is constantly reminding related authorities that the United States economy is moving towards a default swiftly as June 01 is the deadline for addressing obligated payments.

Meanwhile, St. Louis Fed Bank President James Bullard said on Monday that the Fed wants to fight inflation amid a strong labor market. He further added that the policy rate will have to go higher this year, perhaps by 50 basis points (bps).

Gold technical analysis

Gold price is anticipated to deliver a sheer downside after a breakdown below the demand zone placed in a range of $1,950-1,970 on a four-hour scale. The 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1,975.54 is acting as a barricade for the Gold bulls.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has slipped back into the bearish range of 20.00-40.00, which signals that the downside momentum has been triggered again.

Gold four-hour chart

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1967.32
Today Daily Change-4.58
Today Daily Change %-0.23
Today daily open1971.9
 
Trends
Daily SMA202003.78
Daily SMA501989.73
Daily SMA1001930.4
Daily SMA2001826.71
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1982.63
Previous Daily Low1968.95
Previous Weekly High2022.18
Previous Weekly Low1952.01
Previous Monthly High2048.75
Previous Monthly Low1949.83
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1974.18
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1977.4
Daily Pivot Point S11966.36
Daily Pivot Point S21960.81
Daily Pivot Point S31952.68
Daily Pivot Point R11980.04
Daily Pivot Point R21988.17
Daily Pivot Point R31993.72

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers some early losses driven by rising energy prices amid US-Iran war

The EUR/USD pair claws back some of its early losses during the late Asian trading session on Monday, but is still 0.25% down to near 1.1780. Earlier in the day, the Euro declined sharply against the US Dollar as investors shifted to the safe-haven fleet amid the brutal war between Iran, Israel, and the United States, which broke out over the weekend.

GBP/USD targets 1.3500 barrier near moving averages

GBP/USD rebounds from the daily losses, trading around 1.3450 during the Asian hours on Monday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates an ongoing bearish bias, as the pair trades within a descending channel pattern.

Gold looks further north as Iran war boosts haven demand

Gold is taking a breather after the initial run to over one-month highs near $5,400, kicking off the new week with a bang. A global flight to safety theme, following the US-Israel joint attacks on Iran over the weekend, bolstered the demand for the traditional store of value, Gold.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple under pressure as key supports face breakdown risk

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple prices trade on the back foot at the start of this week on Monday, after extending losses in the previous week. BTC is on the brink of a breakdown, ETH is capped below key resistance, and XRP risks a crack of the trendline.

The market is paying for insurance, not apocalypse

As expected, this morning felt less like a Monday market open and more like a fire drill. Futures screens flickered red. S&P contracts down almost 1%. Nasdaq off 1.2%. Brent leaped 13% through $80. Gold rose 1.6% toward $5350 before paring some gains. The dollar is strutting mildly. The Swiss franc is quietly doing what it always does in a storm, catching some safe-haven flows.

Starknet unveils strkBTC, shielded Bitcoin transactions on Ethereum Layer 2

Starknet, the Ethereum Layer 2 network developed by StarkWare, today announced strkBTC, a wrapped Bitcoin asset that introduces optional shielding while preserving full DeFi composability.