|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD retreats to near $2,018 after halting a winning streak

  • Gold price loses ground as US Dollar improves on Tuesday.
  • The improvement in US Treasury yields could impact the non-yield assets like Gold.
  • Investors await FOMC minutes to gain the Fed's perspective on the interest rate trajectory.

Gold price moves slightly lower on Tuesday after halting its three-day winning streak, inching lower to near $2,018 per troy ounce during the Asian trading hours. Prices of the yellow metal encounter a challenge due to the strengthening US Dollar (USD), which can be attributed to higher US bond yields. This upward movement in bond yields has exerted downward pressure on non-yielding assets like Gold.

Furthermore, market participants are eagerly awaiting the release of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting minutes scheduled for Wednesday. This release could provide insight into the Federal Reserve's perspective on the future trajectory of interest rates.

However, ANZ forecasted that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will initiate the rate-cutting cycle starting from July 2024. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there is a 53% possibility of a 25 basis points rate cut by the US Fed in the June meeting.

The recent dovish remarks from the Fed officials suggesting rate cuts in 2024 undermined the US Dollar on Monday. San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary C. Daly mentioned that three rate cuts are a reasonable baseline for 2024. Additionally, St. Louis Federal Reserve (Fed) president, James Bullard suggested Federal Reserve consider lowering interest rates at its March meeting.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which gauges the value of the US Dollar against six other major currencies, ends its four-day losing streak. The DXY trades higher around 104.40, with 2-year and 10-year yields on US bond coupons standing at 4.65% and 4.30%, respectively, at the current time.

XAU/USD: technical levels to watch

Overview
Today last price2018.62
Today Daily Change0.53
Today Daily Change %0.03
Today daily open2018.09
 
Trends
Daily SMA202023.38
Daily SMA502032.25
Daily SMA1001997.84
Daily SMA2001965.58
 
Levels
Previous Daily High2023.05
Previous Daily Low2011
Previous Weekly High2033.39
Previous Weekly Low1984.26
Previous Monthly High2079.01
Previous Monthly Low2001.9
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%2018.45
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%2015.6
Daily Pivot Point S12011.71
Daily Pivot Point S22005.33
Daily Pivot Point S31999.66
Daily Pivot Point R12023.76
Daily Pivot Point R22029.43
Daily Pivot Point R32035.81

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bears await break below 100-day SMA support near 1.1665 area

The EUR/USD pair attracts heavy selling for the second straight day and dives to a nearly four-week trough, around the 1.1670 region, during the Asian session on Monday. Bearish traders now await a sustained break below the 100-day Simple Moving Average before positioning for an extension of the recent pullback from a three-month top, or levels just above the 1.1800 mark touched on December 24.

GBP/USD falls toward 1.3400 near 50-day EMA

GBP/USD extends its losses for the second successive session, trading around 1.3420 during the Asian hours on Monday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates that the 14-day Relative Strength Index at 53 has eased from near overbought, indicating that momentum has cooled while remaining above the midline. RSI holds above 50, keeping a modest bullish bias.

Gold on fire at the start of the week on US-Venezuela tensions

Gold regains upside traction early Monday as flight to safety prevails on Venezuela turmoil. The US Dollar finds strong haven demand, caps Gold’s upside as focus shifts to US jobs data. Gold’s daily technical setup suggests that more upside remains in the offing.

Bulls firmly in control as Bitcoin breaks $93K, Ethereum and Ripple extend gains

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple extended their rallies on Monday, gaining more than 4%, 6%, and 12%, respectively, in the previous week. The top three cryptocurrencies by market capitalization could continue to outperform, with bulls in control of the momentum.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).