|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD recovers US PMI-led losses but stays below $2,000

  • Gold price recovers the recent losses on the stable US Dollar after recent gains.
  • Downbeat US Bond yields could offer support for the precious metal.
  • Israel's delay on ground assault plan in Gaza weakens the demand for safe-haven asset Gold.
  • Solid US PMI data supported the US Dollar to rebound from the monthly low.

Gold price snaps the losing streak, trading higher around $1,970 per troy ounce during the Asian session on Wednesday. The price of the precious metal receives upward support due to the stable US Dollar (USD) post-trimming recent losses.

Moreover, being a non-interest-bearing asset, the opportunity cost of holding Gold eases, which could be attributed to the downbeat US Treasury yields.

However, the improved risk sentiment, with the postponement of Israel's ground assault plan in Gaza diminished the shine of the precious metal regarded as a safe-haven asset.

The positive outlook is being reinforced by China's plan to issue additional sovereign debt. Constructive dialogues between the United States and China during their initial economic working group meeting also contribute to the prevailing optimism.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) rebounded from monthly lows, hovering around 106.20, propelled by encouraging preliminary S&P Global PMI figures released on Tuesday.

The decline in US Treasury yields could exert downward pressure on the US Dollar (USD), with the 10-year yield standing at 4.82%.

US S&P Global Composite PMI showed growth in October, rising from 50.2 to 51.0. The Services PMI experienced an increase, reaching 50.9, while the Manufacturing PMI rose to 50.0. This marks the first time in the last six months that manufacturing has sustained a level at or above the 50-point threshold, signaling a positive shift in that sector.

Investors will likely monitor the US Q3 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) on Thursday, with attention also on the US Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data expected on Friday.

XAU/USD: technical levels to watch

Overview
Today last price1974.88
Today Daily Change3.70
Today Daily Change %0.19
Today daily open1971.18
 
Trends
Daily SMA201890.04
Daily SMA501906.96
Daily SMA1001923.01
Daily SMA2001931.5
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1980.9
Previous Daily Low1953.61
Previous Weekly High1997.23
Previous Weekly Low1908.23
Previous Monthly High1953.01
Previous Monthly Low1846.37
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1964.03
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1970.48
Daily Pivot Point S11956.23
Daily Pivot Point S21941.27
Daily Pivot Point S31928.94
Daily Pivot Point R11983.52
Daily Pivot Point R21995.85
Daily Pivot Point R32010.81

(This story was corrected on October 25 at 09:56 GMT to say that the US Manufacturing PMI came in at or above 50 for the first time in six months. A previous version of the story said that the PMI had remained above 50 for the last six months.)

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays defensive below 1.1750 as USD finds its feet

EUR/USD kicks off the new week on a softer note, holding below 1.1750 in European trading on Monday. The pair faces challenges due to a pause in the US Dollar downtrend, with traders shifting their focus to the delayed US Nonfarm Payrolls and CPI data for fresh directives. The ECB policy decision is also eagerly awaited. 

GBP/USD holds steady above 1.3350 as traders await key data and BoE

GBP/USD remains on the back foot above 1.3350 in the European session on Monday, though it lacks bearish conviction and holds above the key 200-day SMA support. The US Dollar holds its recovery mode ahead of key data releases, while the Pound Sterling faces headwinds from the expected BoE rate cut this week. 

Gold climbs to seven-week highs on Fed rate cut bets, safe-haven demand

Gold price rises to seven-week highs to near $4,350 during the early European trading hours on Monday. The precious metal extends its upside amid the prospect of interest rate cuts by the US Fed next year. Lower interest rates could reduce the opportunity cost of holding Gold, supporting the non-yielding precious metal.

Solana consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout. On the institutional side, demand for spot Solana Exchange-Traded Funds remained firm, pushing total assets under management to nearly $1 billion since launch. 

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Solana Price Forecast: SOL consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana (SOL) price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout.