Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD recoups losses amid hawkish Fed rhetoric, eyeing $1980 resistance


  • Gold climbs 1.12%, trading at $1979.90, as the US Dollar’s strength subsides, investors eyeing the $1980 resistance level.
  • Remarks from Fed Chair Jerome Powell and US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen shook the market, resulting in a significant uptick in XAU/USD.
  • XAU/USD is still on track for a 1.90% weekly loss after robust US Retail Sales, Industrial Production, and falling unemployment claim hint at possible Fed action.

Gold price climbed more than 1% on Friday, trimming some losses sustained during the week as the Fed’s hawkish rhetoric bolstered the greenback, which posted gains of 0.37%, per the US Dollar Index (DXY). At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading at $1979.90, up daily 1.12%.

XAU/USD soars over 1% as Treasury Secretary’s remarks spark risk-off Impulse, US Dollar slips

XAU/USD bottomed at around $1954.14 as the Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell delivered remarks at a conference on Friday. Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated that inflation currently exceeds the target level and stresses the Fed’s unwavering commitment to guide inflation back towards the 2% target, asserting that “failure would cause greater harm.”. Furthermore, Powell noted the strength of the banking system and suggested that tighter banking credit conditions may prevent a potential rise in rates.

At the same time, a news headline that said that CNN reported that US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen told bank CEOs on Thursday that more merges may be necessary after a series of bank failures spurred a risk=off impulse; hence, XAU/USD soared sharply.

Discussions about the US debt ceiling paused as the US House of Representatives leader Kevin McCarthy said. In contrast, the White House commented that a deal remains possible.

In the meantime, the US Dollar Index (DXY), a gauge of the buck’s performance against a basket of six peers, slides 0.30%, down at 103.017, what appears to be traders booking profits ahead of the weekend.

Nevertheless, raising US Treasury bond yields cut short the XAU/USD rally. The US 10-year benchmark note rate yields two and a half basis points at 3.673%.

Even though XAU/USD is cutting some of its weekly losses, it is on its course to lose 1.90% in the week after solid US Retail Sales, Industrial Production, and falling unemployment claims warrant further action by the Fed.

XAU/USD Price Analysis: Technical outlook

XAU/USD Daily chart

After three days of consecutive bearish candlesticks, the XAU/USD is forming a bullish engulfing candle pattern and is about to reclaim the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1977.38. Given the backdrop, the XAU/USD could resume its uptrend, but the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator at bearish territory can put a lid on XAU/USD’s gains.

The XAU/USD must achieve a daily close above $1980 for a bullish resumption. Upside risks lie at the 20-day EMA at $1999, followed by the May 16 high of $2018.28. On the other hand, the XAU/USD first support would be the May 18 swing low of $1951.87, followed by the 100-day EMA at $1931.

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1983.03
Today Daily Change 25.42
Today Daily Change % 1.30
Today daily open 1957.61
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 2004.89
Daily SMA50 1984.74
Daily SMA100 1927.28
Daily SMA200 1824.92
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1986.04
Previous Daily Low 1952.01
Previous Weekly High 2048.27
Previous Weekly Low 2000.95
Previous Monthly High 2048.75
Previous Monthly Low 1949.83
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1965.01
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1973.04
Daily Pivot Point S1 1944.4
Daily Pivot Point S2 1931.19
Daily Pivot Point S3 1910.37
Daily Pivot Point R1 1978.43
Daily Pivot Point R2 1999.25
Daily Pivot Point R3 2012.46

 

 

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