Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD rebounds from monthly lows, still under pressure near critical $1,820


  • US Q4 GDP revised lower, inflation indicators revised higher.
  • Jobless Claims, Chicago Fed Activity surpassed expectations.
  • Gold’s rebound fails to rise above $1,830.

Gold prices rebounded after hitting fresh monthly lows amid risk appetite and an intraday reversal of the US Dollar. XAU/USD bottomed at $1,817 following the release of US economic data, the lowest level since late December and then bounced back toward the $1,830 area.

Data released in the US came in mixed. Initial Jobless Claims dropped to 192K, the lowest level in three weeks. The second reading of Q4 GDP showed a lower annualized growth rate of 2.7% below the 2.9% of the previous estimate. Inflation indicators of the GDP report were revised higher. The Chicago Fed’s National Activity Index rose from -0.43 to 0.23, surpassing expectations.

Investors continue to digest the FOMC minutes and the new economic numbers. The Dow Jones is climbing 0.43% and the Nasdaq is rising 0.50%. US yields are modestly lower, hovering near monthly highs.

The US Dollar peaked after the release of US data while Gold bottomed at $1,817, the lowest since December 30. The yellow metal then rebounded toward $1,830 but it was unable to rise back above that key short-term level.

Following Wall Street’s opening bell the Dollar gained momentum again and pushed XAU/USD back to the downside. XAU/USD is approaching the $1,820 area, which is critical. A consolidation below would open the doors to more weakness, targeting initially $1,812.

XAU/USD daily chart

XAUUSD

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1826.29
Today Daily Change 1.43
Today Daily Change % 0.08
Today daily open 1824.86
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1875.26
Daily SMA50 1864.05
Daily SMA100 1790.08
Daily SMA200 1776.28
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1846.11
Previous Daily Low 1823.63
Previous Weekly High 1870.71
Previous Weekly Low 1818.93
Previous Monthly High 1949.27
Previous Monthly Low 1823.76
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1832.22
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1837.52
Daily Pivot Point S1 1816.96
Daily Pivot Point S2 1809.05
Daily Pivot Point S3 1794.48
Daily Pivot Point R1 1839.44
Daily Pivot Point R2 1854.01
Daily Pivot Point R3 1861.92

 

 

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