|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD plunges below $1,800 amid rising US T-bond yields

  • Gold came under renewed bearish pressure on Wednesday.
  • 10-year US Treasury bond yield is testing 1.5%.
  • Next near-term technical support is located at $1,790.

Gold closed in the negative territory after jumping to its highest level in more than a month at $1,820 on Tuesday and seems to be having a hard time shaking off the bearish pressure mid-week. XAU/USD was last seen losing 0.6% on a daily basis at $1,795.

The renewed dollar strength on Wednesday is weighing on XAU/USD ahead of the American session. The US Dollar Index is clinging to modest daily gains at 96.35 as investors remain cautious in the face of the surging number of Omicron cases. 

There won't be any high-tier macroeconomic data releases in the remainder of the day and investors will remain focused on the risk perception. As of writing, US stocks futures were posting small gains, suggesting that risk flows could return in the second half of the day but thin trading conditions make it difficult to assess the market sentiment.

In the meantime, the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield is edging higher toward 1.5% and not allowing XAU/USD to stage a rebound. 

Gold technical outlook

On the four-hour chart, the Relative Strength Index dropped below 50, confirming the view that the bearish pressure is gathering strength. On the downside, the 100-period SMA is forming the first near-term technical support at $1,790 ahead of $1,785 (static level).

On the upside, $1,800 (psychological level) aligns as first resistance before $1,805 (200-period SMA). In case a four-hour candle closes above the latter, buyers could see that as an opportunity to reclaim the control of the pair's action.

Additional levels to watch for

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1795.81
Today Daily Change-9.77
Today Daily Change %-0.54
Today daily open1805.58
 
Trends
Daily SMA201789.4
Daily SMA501802.56
Daily SMA1001790.48
Daily SMA2001797.32
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1820.29
Previous Daily Low1805.09
Previous Weekly High1810.76
Previous Weekly Low1784.91
Previous Monthly High1877.23
Previous Monthly Low1758.92
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1810.9
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1814.48
Daily Pivot Point S11800.35
Daily Pivot Point S21795.12
Daily Pivot Point S31785.15
Daily Pivot Point R11815.55
Daily Pivot Point R21825.52
Daily Pivot Point R31830.75

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: Breakdown below trading range support near 1.1770 comes into play

The EUR/USD pair opens with a bearish gap at the start of a new week as the US-Iran war-led global flight to safety boosts the US Dollar. Spot prices, however, lack follow-through selling and manage to hold above mid-1.1700s during the Asian session.

GBP/USD targets 1.3500 barrier near moving averages

GBP/USD rebounds from the daily losses, trading around 1.3450 during the Asian hours on Monday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates an ongoing bearish bias, as the pair trades within a descending channel pattern.

Gold retreats from $5,400; still up over 1% amid Middle East tensions

Gold retreats from the $5,400 neighborhood, or its highest level since late January, touched in the Asian session on Monday, though it manages to hold above the $5,300 round figure. The bright metal opened with a bullish gap of about $17 and rallied toward the $5,400 level as Asian traders hit their desks and reacted negatively to the weekend news of the US and Israel attacks on Iran, rushing for cover in Gold.

Top Crypto Losers: Tezos, Toncoin, and Polkadot at crucial levels amid US-Israel strike on Iran

Altcoins such as Tezos, Toncoin, and Polkadot rank among the worst hit cryptocurrencies over the last 24 hours amid the US and Israel's attack on Iran. Tezos and Toncoin are down to crucial support levels while Polkadot remains near a crucial resistance trendline, showcasing underlying strength.

The market is paying for insurance, not apocalypse

As expected, this morning felt less like a Monday market open and more like a fire drill. Futures screens flickered red. S&P contracts down almost 1%. Nasdaq off 1.2%. Brent leaped 13% through $80. Gold rose 1.6% toward $5350 before paring some gains. The dollar is strutting mildly. The Swiss franc is quietly doing what it always does in a storm, catching some safe-haven flows.

Starknet unveils strkBTC, shielded Bitcoin transactions on Ethereum Layer 2

Starknet, the Ethereum Layer 2 network developed by StarkWare, today announced strkBTC, a wrapped Bitcoin asset that introduces optional shielding while preserving full DeFi composability.