Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD, in range above $1,800 amid a moderate risk aversion


  • Gold is moving directionless above $1,800 as risk appetite faded.
  • Concerns about China and the escalating tensions in Ukraine have dampened investors' optimism.
  • XAU/USD remains trapped within an ascending triangle pattern.

Gold futures are moving without a clear direction on Thursday trapped within a  $10 range above $1,800 in a choppy market session amid growing concerns about the Chinese economy and the rising tensions in Ukraine.

China and Ukraine have dampened risk appetite

The moderate optimism observed in the first half of the week, triggered by the Chinese authorities’ decision to lift the restrictions for inbound travelers faffed on Thursday as the recent reports about the sharp increase of infections have cast doubts about a quick recovery of China’s economy.

These reports have raised suspicions about the transparency of the Chinese Government and have prompted some countries, namely the US, Italy, and India to impose mandatory tests for Chinese travelers, a move that might be followed by other countries over the coming days.

Furthermore, Ukraine is reporting the heaviest artillery shelling in some of its main cities since the war started, leaving big parts of the population between energy, which is curbing risk appetite further.

XAU/USD remains moving within an ascending triangle pattern

From a technical point of view, the daily chart shows the pair trapped within ascending triangle pattern, limited by resistance area at $1,825, and trendline support from late-November lows, now around $1,800.

With the MACD indicator in negative territory, a confirmation below the $1,800 trendline would cancel the uptrend and might trigger a deeper retreat to $1765/75 December 6 and 15 lows and November 23 low at $1720.

On the contrary, a run-up above the $1825/35 resistance area would confirm the bullish pattern and set the pair aiming to June high at $1,880 before the $1,900 psychological level.

XAU/USD daily chart

XAUUSD daily chart

Technical levels to watch

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1807.23
Today Daily Change 2.85
Today Daily Change % 0.16
Today daily open 1804.38
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1795.02
Daily SMA50 1742.79
Daily SMA100 1722.55
Daily SMA200 1781.68
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1814.65
Previous Daily Low 1797.11
Previous Weekly High 1823.84
Previous Weekly Low 1783.84
Previous Monthly High 1786.55
Previous Monthly Low 1616.69
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1803.81
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1807.95
Daily Pivot Point S1 1796.11
Daily Pivot Point S2 1787.84
Daily Pivot Point S3 1778.57
Daily Pivot Point R1 1813.65
Daily Pivot Point R2 1822.92
Daily Pivot Point R3 1831.19

 

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

XM
Account
7.2
Tools
9.2
Service
9.4
Trading
9.0
Trust
7.0
Experience
8.4
Read review
Moneta Markets
Account
7.4
Tools
6.6
Service
8.0
Trading
6.6
Trust
5.2
Experience
9.2
Read review
Trading Pro
Account
7.2
Tools
5.2
Service
6.6
Trading
8.0
Trust
5.0
Experience
7.0
Read review
Pepperstone
Account
8.2
Tools
8.2
Service
7.4
Trading
9.0
Trust
8.8
Experience
9.0
Read review
XM
Read review
Moneta Markets
Read review
Trading Pro
Read review
Pepperstone
Read review
Trading Pro
Read review
Pepperstone
Read review
XM
Read review
Moneta Markets
Read review
Trading Pro
Account
7.2
Tools
5.2
Service
6.6
Trading
8.0
Trust
5.0
Experience
7.0
Read review
Pepperstone
Account
8.2
Tools
8.2
Service
7.4
Trading
9.0
Trust
8.8
Experience
9.0
Read review
XM
Account
7.2
Tools
9.2
Service
9.4
Trading
9.0
Trust
7.0
Experience
8.4
Read review
Moneta Markets
Account
7.4
Tools
6.6
Service
8.0
Trading
6.6
Trust
5.2
Experience
9.2
Read review

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD holds losses near 1.1350 ahead of ECB policy decision

EUR/USD holds losses near 1.1350 ahead of ECB policy decision

EUR/USD stays on the back foot near 1.1350 in European session on Thursday. The pair loses ground on the back of a broad US Dollar rebound and as traders turn cutious ahead of the European Central Bank interest rate decision and Lagarde's press conference. 

EUR/USD News
Gold price retreats from record high as profit-taking kicks in

Gold price retreats from record high as profit-taking kicks in

Gold price retreats after touching a fresh all-time peak earlier this Thursday and erodes a part of the previous day's blowout rally though the downside remains cushioned. A slight improvement in the global risk sentiment, bolstered by hopes of US trade negotiations, turns out to be a key factor undermining the precious metal.

Gold News
GBP/USD stays offered below 1.3250 as US Dollar attempts a bounce

GBP/USD stays offered below 1.3250 as US Dollar attempts a bounce

GBP/USD remains under pressure below 1.3250 in Thursday's European trading, snapping its seven-day winning streak. A tepid US Dollar recovery amid risk appetite prompts the pair to pullback from six-month highs of 1.3292 set on Wednesday. Traders look to tariff headlibnes and US data for fresh impetus. 

GBP/USD News
RAY sees double-digit gains as Raydium unveils new Pumpfun competitor

RAY sees double-digit gains as Raydium unveils new Pumpfun competitor

RAY surged 10% on Wednesday as Raydium revealed its new meme coin launchpad, LaunchLab, a potential competitor to Pump.fun — which also recently unveiled its decentralized exchange (DEX) PumpSwap.

Read more
Future-proofing portfolios: A playbook for tariff and recession risks

Future-proofing portfolios: A playbook for tariff and recession risks

It does seem like we will be talking tariffs for a while. And if tariffs stay — in some shape or form — even after negotiations, we’ll likely be talking about recession too. Higher input costs, persistent inflation, and tighter monetary policy are already weighing on global growth. 

Read more
The Best brokers to trade EUR/USD

The Best brokers to trade EUR/USD

SPONSORED Discover the top brokers for trading EUR/USD in 2025. Our list features brokers with competitive spreads, fast execution, and powerful platforms. Whether you're a beginner or an expert, find the right partner to navigate the dynamic Forex market.

Read More

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures

Best Brokers of 2025