Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD holds above $2,000, eyes on Chinese Trade Data, US Jobless Claims data


  • Gold price holds positive ground near $2,025 amid lower US Treasury yields.
  • The November ADP private payrolls climbed 103,000 vs. 106,000 prior, weaker than market expectations.
  • A pessimistic China's economic prospects could weigh on commodity sentiment and gold price.
  • Traders await the Chinese Trade Data, US weekly Jobless Claims, due later on Thursday.

Gold price (XAU/USD) manages to hold above the $2,000 psychological support level during the early Asian session on Thursday. The anticipation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut the interest rate in March 2024 lends some support to the yellow metal. At press time, gold price is trading at $2,025, losing 0.03% on the day.

Meanwhile, the gauge of the value of the USD against a weighted basket of currencies used by US trade partners, trades in positive territory for the third consecutive day, climbing above 104.15. However, the US Treasury yields edge lower, with the 10-year yield dropping from 4.20% to 4.11%.

Data released on Wednesday revealed that the November ADP private payrolls climbed 103,000 from the previous reading of 106,000, weaker than the market expectation of 130,000. The ADP report follows Tuesday’s release of the JOLTS job openings number for October from the Labor Department which showed the figure at its lowest level since March 2021, dropping to 8.73 million from a downwardly revised 9.35 million in September.

Furthermore, Moody’s downgraded its outlook on China’s government credit ratings to negative from stable on Tuesday. That being said, a pessimistic China's economic prospects weigh on the commodity sentiment and create headwinds for the gold price as China is the world’s major gold consumer.

Gold traders will keep an eye on the Chinese Trade Data and the US weekly Jobless Claims data, which is expected to gain 222,000. On Friday, the attention will shift to the US employment data, including the Nonfarm Payroll (NFP), Unemployment Rate, and Average Hourly Earnings. Traders will take cues from these figures and find the trading opportunity around the gold price.

 

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 2026.62
Today Daily Change 7.40
Today Daily Change % 0.37
Today daily open 2019.22
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1994.49
Daily SMA50 1950.95
Daily SMA100 1939.32
Daily SMA200 1948.01
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 2041.26
Previous Daily Low 2009.93
Previous Weekly High 2075.43
Previous Weekly Low 2000.65
Previous Monthly High 2052.03
Previous Monthly Low 1931.67
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 2021.9
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 2029.29
Daily Pivot Point S1 2005.68
Daily Pivot Point S2 1992.14
Daily Pivot Point S3 1974.35
Daily Pivot Point R1 2037.01
Daily Pivot Point R2 2054.8
Daily Pivot Point R3 2068.34

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

AUD/USD: Extra consolidation appears on the cards

AUD/USD: Extra consolidation appears on the cards

AUD/USD set aside a two-day recovery past the 0.6300 hurdle and came under pressure on Wednesday, always in response to US tariff fears and the marked bounce in the Greenback.

AUD/USD News
EUR/USD: Further downside could retest the 200-day SMA

EUR/USD: Further downside could retest the 200-day SMA

EUR/USD accelerated its losses and retested lows near the 1.0740 zone on the back of the stronger US Dollar and persistent jitters surrounding potential tariffs on EU imports as soon as next week.

EUR/USD News
Gold remains slightly offered just above $3,000

Gold remains slightly offered just above $3,000

Gold is trading in a narrow range on Wednesday but continues to hold firm just above the $3,000 mark. The precious metal is drawing support from upbeat sentiment in the broader commodities space, buoyed by Copper’s surge to a fresh all-time high earlier in the day.

Gold News
Crypto Today: SHIB, DOGE and PEPE enter $6B gains as BTC aims at $90k

Crypto Today: SHIB, DOGE and PEPE enter $6B gains as BTC aims at $90k

Cryptocurrency market capitalization dips 1.3% to hit $2.9 trillion on Tuesday, with market indicators showing capital rotation toward memecoins.

Read more
Sticky UK services inflation shows signs of tax hike impact

Sticky UK services inflation shows signs of tax hike impact

There are tentative signs that the forthcoming rise in employer National Insurance is having an impact on service sector inflation, which came in a tad higher than expected in February. It should still fall back in the second quarter, though, keeping the Bank of England on track for three further rate cuts this year.

Read more
The Best brokers to trade EUR/USD

The Best brokers to trade EUR/USD

SPONSORED Discover the top brokers for trading EUR/USD in 2025. Our list features brokers with competitive spreads, fast execution, and powerful platforms. Whether you're a beginner or an expert, find the right partner to navigate the dynamic Forex market.

Read More

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures

Best Brokers of 2025