Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD gains ground above $2,400, eyes on Fedspeak


  • Gold price kicks off the new week on a positive note near $2,415. 
  • The softer US inflation data has prompted the Fed’s rate cut expectation, lifting the yellow metal.
  • The hawkish comments from Fed officials might cap the precious metal’s upside. 

Gold price (XAU/USD) gathers strength around $2,415 during the early Asian session on Monday. The softer US inflation data in April provides some support to the yellow metal. Meanwhile, the USD Index (DXY), the value of the US dollar measured against a group of six foreign currencies, edges lower to 104.50, losing 0.03% on the day.  Investors will take more cues from the Fed’s Bostic, Barr, Waller, Jefferson, and Mester on Monday.

The growing speculation that the US  Federal Reserve (Fed) could lower rates in 2024 provides some support to XAU/USD as the lower rate increases the attractiveness of non-yielding Gold to investors. Both US CPI inflations for April dropped to 0.3% MoM from a 0.4% rise in the previous reading. Both the headline and Core CPI printed lower but in line with market expectations. 

On the other hand, the cautious approach from the Fed might cap the upside of the precious metal, as higher interest rates might well reduce overall investment demand for non-yielding gold. Last week, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said that he thinks the US central bank will need more data to gain confidence on whether inflation is steadily falling towards 2%. Also, many Fed officials emphasised the need to hold the rate higher for longer, which boosts the Greenback broadly. 

 

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 2424.06
Today Daily Change 8.66
Today Daily Change % 0.36
Today daily open 2415.4
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 2335.4
Daily SMA50 2288.93
Daily SMA100 2164.27
Daily SMA200 2059.01
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 2422.81
Previous Daily Low 2374.06
Previous Weekly High 2422.81
Previous Weekly Low 2332.25
Previous Monthly High 2431.61
Previous Monthly Low 2228.58
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 2404.19
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 2392.68
Daily Pivot Point S1 2385.37
Daily Pivot Point S2 2355.34
Daily Pivot Point S3 2336.62
Daily Pivot Point R1 2434.12
Daily Pivot Point R2 2452.84
Daily Pivot Point R3 2482.87

 


 

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