|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD eyes acceptance above $1,795 to recapture $1,800 – Confluence Detector

  • Gold price is consolidating Friday’s rebound amid a mixed market sentiment on Monday.
  • Hawkish Fed outlook, China’s covid woes fail to impress US Dollar bulls.
  • US Treasury yields rally, capping the Gold price upside. Will it reclaim $1,800?

Gold price is treading water just below $1,800, as investors fail to find a clear directional impetus amid a broadly weaker US Dollar and higher Treasury bond yields. The US Dollar is feeling the pull of gravity, dragged down by the USD/JPY sell-off while the US Treasury bond yields benefit from hawkish comments from the Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester. Despite the hawkish Fed outlook, Gold price is looking to extend the renewed upside, underpinned by the bullish technical setup and encouraging news from India. Last week, India’sgovernment raised the base import prices of crude palm oil and soy oil, gold and silver, as prices jumped in the world market. Investors will closely follow the US Dollar price action and risk trends amid a relatively quiet start to the Christmas week.

Also read: Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD eyes a sustained move above $1,800 amid bullish technical setup

Gold Price: Key levels to watch

The Technical Confluence Detector shows that the gold price is gathering strength to yearn for a decisive break above the powerful resistance aligned at $1,795. That level is the convergence of the SMA5 one-day, Fibonacci 38.2% one-week and the previous high four-hour.

If bulls manage to find a strong foothold above the latter, then a minor resistance at $1,798 will be tested. The next stop for Gold bulls is seen at the pivot point one-day R1 at $1,800.

A fresh advance toward the Fibonacci 61.8% one-week at $1,805 could be in the offing on a sustained buying.

On the downside, strong support awaits at around $1,787, the intersection of the Fibonacci 38.2% one-day, SMA200 one-day, the previous month’s high and the Fibonacci 23.6% one-week.

A breach of the latter will expose the Fibonacci 61.8% one-day at $1,783. Further south, the pivot point one-day S1 at $1,780 could come to the rescue of Gold buyers.

Here is how it looks on the tool

fxsoriginal

About Technical Confluences Detector

The TCD (Technical Confluences Detector) is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc.  If you are a short-term trader, you will find entry points for counter-trend strategies and hunt a few points at a time. If you are a medium-to-long-term trader, this tool will allow you to know in advance the price levels where a medium-to-long-term trend may stop and rest, where to unwind positions, or where to increase your position size.

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD declines to near 1.3500 as US-Iran tensions rise

The GBP/USD pair declines to near 1.3500 during the early European trading hours on Wednesday. Ongoing tensions in the Middle East provide some support to a safe-haven currency such as the US Dollar against the British Pound. All eyes will be on the US August jobs report later on Friday.

EUR/USD falls to two-week low below 1.1600 on broad USD strength

EUR/USD remains under bearish pressure after closing in negative territory on Tuesday and trades at its lowest level in two weeks below 1.1600 on Wednesday. As tensions in the Middle East escalate further, the US Dollar gathers strength on risk-aversion and hawkish Fed repricing, forcing the pair to stay on the back foot. Later in the day, private sector employment data from the US will be watched closely by market participants.

Gold recovers above $4,300; upside seems capped as Fed bets support USD

Gold recovers early lost ground to a four-week low, and trades above $4,320 heading into the European session. A modest US Dollar pullback is seen as a key factor supporting the commodity, though any meaningful upside seems elusive amid hawkish US Federal Reserve expectations. The escalating Middle East conflict lifted crude oil prices to a fresh high since July 24, stoking inflation fears and reaffirming bets for a Fed rate hike in September.

WTI advances to mid-$90.00s, fresh high since July 24 amid escalating US-Iran tensions

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) – the benchmark US Crude Oil price – scales higher for the third straight day – also marking the fifth day of a positive move in the previous six – and climbs to a fresh high since July 24 during the Asian session on Wednesday.

ADP Employment Report is expected to show a moderate increase in private payrolls in August

The Automatic Data Processing Research Institute will release its monthly report on private-sector job creation for August next Wednesday. The ADP Employment Change report is expected to show that the United States private sector added 47K new positions this month, little changed from the 44K new jobs reported in July.

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.