|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD eyes acceptance above $1,795 to recapture $1,800 – Confluence Detector

  • Gold price is consolidating Friday’s rebound amid a mixed market sentiment on Monday.
  • Hawkish Fed outlook, China’s covid woes fail to impress US Dollar bulls.
  • US Treasury yields rally, capping the Gold price upside. Will it reclaim $1,800?

Gold price is treading water just below $1,800, as investors fail to find a clear directional impetus amid a broadly weaker US Dollar and higher Treasury bond yields. The US Dollar is feeling the pull of gravity, dragged down by the USD/JPY sell-off while the US Treasury bond yields benefit from hawkish comments from the Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester. Despite the hawkish Fed outlook, Gold price is looking to extend the renewed upside, underpinned by the bullish technical setup and encouraging news from India. Last week, India’sgovernment raised the base import prices of crude palm oil and soy oil, gold and silver, as prices jumped in the world market. Investors will closely follow the US Dollar price action and risk trends amid a relatively quiet start to the Christmas week.

Also read: Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD eyes a sustained move above $1,800 amid bullish technical setup

Gold Price: Key levels to watch

The Technical Confluence Detector shows that the gold price is gathering strength to yearn for a decisive break above the powerful resistance aligned at $1,795. That level is the convergence of the SMA5 one-day, Fibonacci 38.2% one-week and the previous high four-hour.

If bulls manage to find a strong foothold above the latter, then a minor resistance at $1,798 will be tested. The next stop for Gold bulls is seen at the pivot point one-day R1 at $1,800.

A fresh advance toward the Fibonacci 61.8% one-week at $1,805 could be in the offing on a sustained buying.

On the downside, strong support awaits at around $1,787, the intersection of the Fibonacci 38.2% one-day, SMA200 one-day, the previous month’s high and the Fibonacci 23.6% one-week.

A breach of the latter will expose the Fibonacci 61.8% one-day at $1,783. Further south, the pivot point one-day S1 at $1,780 could come to the rescue of Gold buyers.

Here is how it looks on the tool

fxsoriginal

About Technical Confluences Detector

The TCD (Technical Confluences Detector) is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc.  If you are a short-term trader, you will find entry points for counter-trend strategies and hunt a few points at a time. If you are a medium-to-long-term trader, this tool will allow you to know in advance the price levels where a medium-to-long-term trend may stop and rest, where to unwind positions, or where to increase your position size.

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD remains depressed near 0.6950 after RBA minutes

AUD/USD attracts follow-through selling during Tuesday’s Asian session, looking to extend the overnight rejection slide from 0.7000, or a two-week top, following the release of RBA meeting Minutes. The US Dollar retains a bullish undertone near its highest level since April 2025 as energy-driven inflation risks keep December Fed rate hike bets firmly on the table. Adding to this, geopolitical risks further underpin the safe-haven USD.

USD/JPY extends retreat below 158.50 as intervention risks loom

USD/JPY is dropping below 158.50 in the Asian session on Tuesday, snapping a two-day winning streak and pulling back from an over two-week top touched the previous day, despite Japan's soft PPI inflation print. Bulls turn cautious amid speculation that authorities will step in to prop up the Japanese Yen, which, in turn, weighs on the pair.

Gold range play extends amid geopolitics, ahead of US inflation test

Gold extends its struggle below $4,200 early Tuesday as geopolitical risks weigh. US Dollar pinned down by retreating Oil prices and US Treasury bond yields. Technically, the daily bearish RSI continues to caution Gold buyers.

Ripple-backed Evernorth goes live on Nasdaq with 473 million XRP treasury
Ripple-backed digital asset treasury firm Evernorth began trading on the Nasdaq on Monday under the ticker XRPN, giving traditional stock market investors exposure to XRP. The listing follows the completion of Evernorth’s business combination with Armada Acquisition Corp. II on Friday.
Asian stock markets plunge, KOSPI faces bloodbath amid chip competition from China

Asian stock markets face a significant sell-off in Tuesday’s session, tracking weakness in United States technology stocks seen on the Columbus Day. As of writing, KOSPI is leading losses with over 7% decline, Shanghai is down 1% to near 3,760, Nikkei 225 plunges almost 2.5% at around 67,350.

Has Bitcoin really escaped the macro forces it was built to fight?
Over 17 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto designed Bitcoin (BTC) on the back of a global financial crisis as an alternative to the global monetary system outside the control of central banks, governments and traditional intermediaries. This raises a key question: has Bitcoin really become independent of the macroeconomic forces it was built to challenge?