Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD extends its upside above $2,050, all eye on US PCE data


  • Gold price attracts some buyers to $2,055 amid the weaker US Dollar.
  • US Q3 GDP came in weaker than expected, expanding at 4.9%.
  • The markets are pricing in around 79% odds of a rate cut in March.
  • Gold traders await the US Core Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (Core PCE), due on Friday.

Gold price (XAU/USD) extends its gains during the early Asian session on Friday. The softer US Dollar (USD) and the downbeat US GDP growth number lends some support to the yellow metal. Gold price currently trades near $2,055, gaining 0.53% on the day.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY), a measure of the value of the USD against a weighted basket of currencies used by US trade partners, has dropped to its lowest level since August, near 101.80. The Treasury yields rose modestly, with the 10-year yield standing at 3.89%.

Data released on Thursdays showed that the US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the third quarter came in weaker than expected, expanding at 4.9%, according to the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report. Furthermore, Initial claims for unemployment benefits increased by 2,000 to a seasonally adjusted 205,000 for the week ending December 16, worse than the market expectation of 215,000.

Softening US economic data and moderating inflation indicated that the Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policies are restrictive enough to bring inflation sustainably back to target. Fed committee members expected at least three rate cuts in 2024, and the markets are pricing in around 79% possibility of a rate cut in March, according to the CME FedWatch tool. That being said, the lower US might boost the appeal of gold.

Looking ahead, gold traders will closely monitor November’s US Core Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (Core PCE) on Friday. The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge is estimated to show an increase of 0.2% MoM and 3.3% YoY. Furthermore, the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Survey, Durable Goods Orders report, and New Home Sales data will also be released from the US docket.

 

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 2053.84
Today Daily Change 24.00
Today Daily Change % 1.18
Today daily open 2029.84
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 2022.12
Daily SMA50 1988.66
Daily SMA100 1945.78
Daily SMA200 1957.24
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 2043.55
Previous Daily Low 2029.65
Previous Weekly High 2047.93
Previous Weekly Low 1973.13
Previous Monthly High 2052.03
Previous Monthly Low 1931.67
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 2034.96
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 2038.24
Daily Pivot Point S1 2025.14
Daily Pivot Point S2 2020.45
Daily Pivot Point S3 2011.24
Daily Pivot Point R1 2039.04
Daily Pivot Point R2 2048.25
Daily Pivot Point R3 2052.94

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD extends recovery beyond 1.0400 amid Wall Street's turnaround

EUR/USD extends recovery beyond 1.0400 amid Wall Street's turnaround

EUR/USD extends its recovery beyond 1.0400, helped by the better performance of Wall Street and softer-than-anticipated United States PCE inflation. Profit-taking ahead of the winter holidays also takes its toll. 

 

EUR/USD News
GBP/USD nears 1.2600 on renewed USD weakness

GBP/USD nears 1.2600 on renewed USD weakness

GBP/USD extends its rebound from multi-month lows and approaches 1.2600. The US Dollar stays on the back foot after softer-than-expected PCE inflation data, helping the pair edge higher. Nevertheless, GBP/USD remains on track to end the week in negative territory.

GBP/USD News
Gold rises above $2,620 as US yields edge lower

Gold rises above $2,620 as US yields edge lower

Gold extends its daily rebound and trades above $2,620 on Friday. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield declines toward 4.5% following the PCE inflation data for November, helping XAU/USD stretch higher in the American session.

Gold News
Bitcoin crashes to $96,000, altcoins bleed: Top trades for sidelined buyers

Bitcoin crashes to $96,000, altcoins bleed: Top trades for sidelined buyers

Bitcoin (BTC) slipped under the $100,000 milestone and touched the $96,000 level briefly on Friday, a sharp decline that has also hit hard prices of other altcoins and particularly meme coins.

Read more
Bank of England stays on hold, but a dovish front is building

Bank of England stays on hold, but a dovish front is building

Bank of England rates were maintained at 4.75% today, in line with expectations. However, the 6-3 vote split sent a moderately dovish signal to markets, prompting some dovish repricing and a weaker pound. We remain more dovish than market pricing for 2025.

Read more
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.

Read More

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures