- Gold price is testing the upside break of the consolidation formed in a $1,764.45-1,775.35 range.
- A slippage in US ISM New Orders Index data indicates the downside risk of demand ahead.
- The US NFP is likely to slip to 250k from the prior release of 372k.
Gold price (XAU/USD) has corrected t near $1,774.65 after printing a high of $1,780.58 in the early Tokyo session. The precious metal is likely to rebound again as an upside break of consolidation is followed by a low-volume test of the breakout. Earlier, the bright metal displayed an upside break of the consolidation formed in a $1,764.45-1,775.35 range.
Meanwhile, the US dollar index (DXY) has found a modest rebound after refreshing the three-week low at 105.05 at the open. The DXY has shifted into a negative trajectory as forward demand by retailers and producers has trimmed significantly. The US agency reported a vulnerable US Institute of Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing New Orders Index data on Monday.
The economic data indicates forward demand by the retailers and producers. The data remained lower than the estimates of 52 and the prior print of 49.2 at 48. A meaningful trim in the demand forecast indicator resulted in a steep fall in the DXY.
Going forward, investors’ entire focus will remain on the mega event of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), which is due on Friday. As per the market consensus, the US economy has generated 250k jobs in July lower than June’s print of 372k. This will strengthen the gold price against the greenback.
Gold technical analysis
A rising channel formation by the gold prices on an hourly scale advocates the continuation of an upside move. The upper portion of the above-mentioned chart pattern is placed from July 22 high at $1,739.37 while the lower portion is plotted from July 21 low at $1,681.87.
Advancing 50-and 200-Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) at $1,765.40 and $1,742.85 respectively adds to the upside filters.
Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is attempting to reclaim 60.00 levels. An occurrence of the same will warrant a fresh bullish impulsive wave.
Gold hourly chart
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD stays near 1.0400 in thin holiday trading
EUR/USD trades with mild losses near 1.0400 on Tuesday. The expectation that the US Federal Reserve will deliver fewer rate cuts in 2025 provides some support for the US Dollar. Trading volumes are likely to remain low heading into the Christmas break.
GBP/USD struggles to find direction, holds steady near 1.2550
GBP/USD consolidates in a range at around 1.2550 on Tuesday after closing in negative territory on Monday. The US Dollar preserves its strength and makes it difficult for the pair to gain traction as trading conditions thin out on Christmas Eve.
Gold holds above $2,600, bulls non-committed on hawkish Fed outlook
Gold trades in a narrow channel above $2,600 on Tuesday, albeit lacking strong follow-through buying. Geopolitical tensions and trade war fears lend support to the safe-haven XAU/USD, while the Fed’s hawkish shift acts as a tailwind for the USD and caps the precious metal.
IRS says crypto staking should be taxed in response to lawsuit
In a filing on Monday, the US International Revenue Service stated that the rewards gotten from staking cryptocurrencies should be taxed, responding to a lawsuit from couple Joshua and Jessica Jarrett.
2025 outlook: What is next for developed economies and currencies?
As the door closes in 2024, and while the year feels like it has passed in the blink of an eye, a lot has happened. If I had to summarise it all in four words, it would be: ‘a year of surprises’.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.