Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD climbs above $1,850 on improved mood, ahead of FOMC minutes


  • Gold prices are bolstered by an upbeat market sentiment keeping the US Dollar offered.
  • Investors cheered China’s planning to support the property market and the relaxation of its Covid zero-tolerance policy.
  • A busy US economic docket keeps traders wary of propelling the US Dollar.
  • Minnesota Fed Kashkari: The Fed must avoid cutting rates prematurely.

Gold price rallied to eight-month highs around $1,865.15, though slightly retraced some of its gains amidst an upbeat market sentiment, spurred by China’s support to its housing market, alongside its border reopening, as it relaxes Covid-19 zero-tolerance measures. Investors get ready for a busy economic calendar in the United States (US), while Federal Reserve’s (Fed) officials began to cross newswires. At the time of writing, the XAU/USD is trading at $1,856.01, above its opening price by 1%.

Upbeat market mood spurred by China’s news underpinned Gold

Wall Street is poised to open higher, as shown by equity futures rising, while the US Dollar (USD) weakens. Factors like Chinese authorities planning to deliver additional support to property developers, aimed to relax liquidity stress in some “too-big-to-fail” developers, sparked a rally in Asian stocks. Meanwhile, China’s reopening was cheered by investors, even though the country reported 5 Covid deaths on January 3, vs. three from the previous day.

US Dollar weakens as traders brace for US data

Aside from this, investors waiting for US economic data has bolstered Gold prices, as Tuesday’s US Dollar longs exited ahead of market-moving data. Following the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI release on Tuesday, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) for December is expected to drop from 49.0 to 48.5. Also, the JOLTs report is estimated to hit 10 M, vs. 10.334M in the previous month, while the main spotlight would be the release of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) December meeting minutes.

Minnesota Fed Kashkari sees rates around 5.4%

In the meantime, Minnesota’s Fed President Neil Kashkari (voter in 2023) said that it would be appropriate to continue to hike rates “at least at the next few meetings” until inflation has peaked and foresees the Federal Funds rate (FFR) at 5.4%. He added that the Fed must avoid cutting the policy rate prematurely and would consider cutting only when it’s convinced inflation is on its way back down to 2%.

Gold Daily Chart

Gold Key Technical Levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1857.12
Today Daily Change 18.96
Today Daily Change % 1.03
Today daily open 1838.16
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1803.06
Daily SMA50 1757.02
Daily SMA100 1724.08
Daily SMA200 1779.26
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1850.03
Previous Daily Low 1824.7
Previous Weekly High 1833.38
Previous Weekly Low 1797.11
Previous Monthly High 1833.38
Previous Monthly Low 1765.89
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1840.35
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1834.38
Daily Pivot Point S1 1825.23
Daily Pivot Point S2 1812.3
Daily Pivot Point S3 1799.9
Daily Pivot Point R1 1850.56
Daily Pivot Point R2 1862.96
Daily Pivot Point R3 1875.89

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD stays in positive territory above 1.0850 after US data

EUR/USD stays in positive territory above 1.0850 after US data

EUR/USD clings to modest daily gains above 1.0850 in the second half of the day on Friday. The improving risk mood makes it difficult for the US Dollar to hold its ground after PCE inflation data, helping the pair edge higher ahead of the weekend.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD stabilizes above 1.2850 as risk mood improves

GBP/USD stabilizes above 1.2850 as risk mood improves

GBP/USD maintains recovery momentum and fluctuates above 1.2850 in the American session on Friday. The positive shift seen in risk mood doesn't allow the US Dollar to preserve its strength and supports the pair.

GBP/USD News

Gold rebounds above $2,380 as US yields stretch lower

Gold rebounds above $2,380 as US yields stretch lower

Following a quiet European session, Gold gathers bullish momentum and trades decisively higher on the day above $2,380. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield loses more than 1% on the day after US PCE inflation data, fuelling XAU/USD's upside.

Gold News

Avalanche price sets for a rally following retest of key support level

Avalanche price sets for a rally following retest of  key support level

Avalanche (AVAX) price bounced off the $26.34 support level to trade at $27.95 as of Friday. Growing on-chain development activity indicates a potential bullish move in the coming days.

Read more

The election, Trump's Dollar policy, and the future of the Yen

The election, Trump's Dollar policy, and the future of the Yen

After an assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump and drop out of President Biden, Kamala Harris has been endorsed as the Democratic candidate to compete against Trump in the upcoming November US presidential election.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures