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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD cheers flight to safety, key levels to watch – Confluence Detector

Gold price is off the three-week highs but remains buoyed by the risk-off market profile. Uncertainties surrounding the Omicron covid variant sap investors’ confidence. Meanwhile, US Senator Joe Manchin left Democrats hanging with Biden Bill rejection, jeopardizing the $1.75 fiscal sending plan. Falling Treasury yields continue to undermine the US dollar, offering additional support to gold. Amid a light calendar, the broader market sentiment will continue to play a pivotal role in gold’s price action.

Read: Gold 2022 Outlook: Correlation with US T-bond yields to drive yellow metal

Gold Price: Key levels to watch

The Technical Confluences Detector shows that the gold price seems to have found some support at $1,797, the convergence of the SMA50 one-day, SMA5 four-hour and Fibonacci 23.6% one-week.

 A failure to resist above the latter will trigger a drop towards $1,791, where the Fibonacci 38.2% one-week coincides with the SMA100 one-day.

Further south, strong support awaits at $1,787, the intersection of the SMA5 one-day and Fibonacci 23.6% one-month.

The last line of defense for gold buyers is seen at $1,783. At that point, the SMA10 one-day meets with the pivot point one-day S2.

Alternatively, fresh buying opportunities will arise only on a sustained break above $1,803-$1,804 supply zone, which is the confluence of the Fibonacci 38.2% one-month, Fibonacci 38.2% one-day and previous high four-hour.

The Fibonacci 61.8 one-day at $1,807 will offer powerful resistance on the upside. The previous day’s high of $1,814 will be next on the buyers’ radars.

Here is how it looks on the tool

fxsoriginal

About Technical Confluences Detector

The TCD (Technical Confluences Detector) is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc.  If you are a short-term trader, you will find entry points for counter-trend strategies and hunt a few points at a time. If you are a medium-to-long-term trader, this tool will allow you to know in advance the price levels where a medium-to-long-term trend may stop and rest, where to unwind positions, or where to increase your position size.

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
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