Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD auctions below $1,750 on higher expectations for US Inflation


  • Gold price is oscillating below 1,750.00 as odds of soaring price pressures are supporting the greenback.
  • The collaboration of lower paychecks and the higher inflation rates will bring a serious slump in the overall demand.
  • Consolidation is expected ahead as the RSI is oscillating in a 40.00-60.00 range.

Gold price (XAU/USD) is displaying back-and-forth moves in a narrow range of $1,742.93-1,744.62 in the Asian session. The precious metal is auctioning below the round-level resistance of $1,750.00 as the market participants are expecting an acceleration in the price pressures.  

The gold prices may face severe heat as the higher inflation print by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics will strengthen the greenback. As per the market consensus, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) is seen higher at 8.7% than the prior estimate of 8.6%. This will compel the Federal Reserve (Fed) to feature a consecutive 75 basis point (bps) interest rate hike.

However, the inflation rate in conjunction with the lower Average Hourly Earnings is not painting a rosy picture for the greenback. Soaring price pressures are highly required to be equalized with higher earnings and stagnancy in the wage rates is hurting the ‘paychecks’ of the households. This may have a significant impact on the aggregate demand as lower-valued paychecks will result in lower consumption and savings for the households.

Gold technical analysis

On an hourly scale, the gold prices have turned sideways in a range of $1,730.73-1,752.49 after a downside move. The 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1,742.35 is overlapping with the prices of the precious metal. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is oscillating in the 40.00-60.00 range, which bolsters the odds of consolidation ahead.

Gold hourly chart

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1743.68
Today Daily Change 1.12
Today Daily Change % 0.06
Today daily open 1742.56
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1809.35
Daily SMA50 1833.74
Daily SMA100 1885.92
Daily SMA200 1845.84
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1752.49
Previous Daily Low 1730.73
Previous Weekly High 1814.37
Previous Weekly Low 1730.73
Previous Monthly High 1879.26
Previous Monthly Low 1802.79
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1744.18
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1739.04
Daily Pivot Point S1 1731.36
Daily Pivot Point S2 1720.17
Daily Pivot Point S3 1709.6
Daily Pivot Point R1 1753.12
Daily Pivot Point R2 1763.69
Daily Pivot Point R3 1774.88

 

 

 

 

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