- Gold price faces some selling pressure around $2,018 in Tuesday’s early Asian session.
- Several Fed officials emphasized last week that further evidence of progress on inflation is needed before cutting rates.
- More stimulus announcements from China might boost the gold price.
- The US January Consumer Price Index (CPI) will be the highlight on Tuesday.
Gold price (XAU/USD) trades in negative territory for the fifth consecutive day during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The high-for-longer rate narrative from the US Federal Reserve (Fed) exerts some selling pressure on the non-yielding yellow metal. Investors await crucial US inflation data, which could provide some insight into the next steps the Fed takes on interest rates. The gold price currently trades near $2,018, down 0.06% on the day.
Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY), an index of the value of the USD measured against a basket of six world currencies, consolidates around 104.12. The US Treasury yields edge higher, with the 10-year yield standing at 4.17%.
Several Federal Reserve (Fed) officials emphasized last week that further evidence of progress on inflation is needed before cutting rates. The January CPI data on Tuesday will be key data, which is projected to show an increase of 0.2% MoM and 3.0% YoY. The Core CPI excludes volatile food and energy prices and is estimated to show an increase of 0.3% MoM and 3.8% YoY. Fed Funds futures have priced in 107 basis points (bps) or about 1% in rate cuts for 2024, down from 158 bps less than a month ago.
Mainland China's financial markets are closed this week for the Lunar New Year holidays. China's inflation fell by 0.8% year on year in January, the greatest decline in 15 years. This highlights the possibility of deflation in the world's second-largest economy. Nonetheless, the downside of gold might be capped due to the additional stimulus measures from Chinese authorities to boost the market.
Gold traders will closely monitor the US January Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Tuesday. On Thursday, the US Retail Sales will be released. Traders will take cues from the data and find trading opportunities around the gold price.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD treads water just above 1.0400 post-US data
Another sign of the good health of the US economy came in response to firm flash US Manufacturing and Services PMIs, which in turn reinforced further the already strong performance of the US Dollar, relegating EUR/USD to the 1.0400 neighbourhood on Friday.
GBP/USD remains depressed near 1.2520 on stronger Dollar
Poor results from the UK docket kept the British pound on the back foot on Thursday, hovering around the low-1.2500s in a context of generalized weakness in the risk-linked galaxy vs. another outstanding day in the Greenback.
Gold keeps the bid bias unchanged near $2,700
Persistent safe haven demand continues to prop up the march north in Gold prices so far on Friday, hitting new two-week tops past the key $2,700 mark per troy ounce despite extra strength in the Greenback and mixed US yields.
Geopolitics back on the radar
Rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine caused renewed unease in the markets this week. Putin signed an amendment to Russian nuclear doctrine, which allows Russia to use nuclear weapons for retaliating against strikes carried out with conventional weapons.
Eurozone PMI sounds the alarm about growth once more
The composite PMI dropped from 50 to 48.1, once more stressing growth concerns for the eurozone. Hard data has actually come in better than expected recently – so ahead of the December meeting, the ECB has to figure out whether this is the PMI crying wolf or whether it should take this signal seriously. We think it’s the latter.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.