Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD appears ‘buy the dips’ trade en-route $1,941 – Confluence Detector


  • Gold price could retest $1,917 support before running back toward $1,941.
  • US Dollar weakness boosts Gold price to fresh nine-month highs near $1,930.
  • US markets are closed on Monday, thin trading could exaggerate moves.

Gold price is on track for the third straight day of gains, as bulls hold fort near the highest level in nine months above $1,900 at the start of the week. The ongoing weakness in the US Dollar gathered pace following a fresh USD/JPY sell-off, triggered by hopes of a hawkish Bank of Japan (BoJ) pivot. Further, the US Dollar continues to feel the heat from increased expectations of slower US Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hikes, in the face of easing US Consumer Price Index (CPI). Going forward, heightened volatility could be expected in the Gold price amid a US market holiday and overbought technical conditions. Meanwhile, investors await speeches from the Fed official and the US Retail Sales data due later this week for fresh trading incentives in Gold price.

Also read: Gold, Chart of the Week: XAU/USD meets $1,920 resistance area, eyes on 4-hour structures to the downside

Gold Price: Key levels to watch

The Technical Confluence Detector shows that the gold price could retest Friday’s high at $1,922 on retracement from multi-month highs. A breach of the latter will put the critical support at $1,917 under threat. That level is the convergence of the pivot point one-month R3 and the previous low four-hour.

The next immediate cushion is seen at the Fibonacci 23.6% one-day $1,915. Deeper declines could challenge bullish commitments near $1,909, where the Fibonacci 23.6% one-week and the Fibonacci 38.2% one-day coincide.

Alternatively, Gold buyers need a sustained move above the intraday high at $1,929 to initiate a fresh upswing toward the pivot point one-day R1 at $1,931.

The next stop for bulls is envisioned directly at $1,941, the confluence of the pivot point one-week R1 and pivot point one-day R2.

Here is how it looks on the tool

fxsoriginal

About Technical Confluences Detector

The TCD (Technical Confluences Detector) is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc.  If you are a short-term trader, you will find entry points for counter-trend strategies and hunt a few points at a time. If you are a medium-to-long-term trader, this tool will allow you to know in advance the price levels where a medium-to-long-term trend may stop and rest, where to unwind positions, or where to increase your position size.

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD stays below 1.1100, looks to post weekly losses

EUR/USD stays below 1.1100, looks to post weekly losses

EUR/USD continues to trade in a narrow range below 1.1100 and remains on track to end the week in negative territory. Earlier in the day, monthly PCE inflation data from the US came in line with the market expectation, failing to trigger a reaction.

EUR/USD News
GBP/USD struggles to find a foothold, trades near 1.3150

GBP/USD struggles to find a foothold, trades near 1.3150

GBP/USD stays on the back foot and trades in negative territory at around 1.3150 on Friday. The US Dollar holds its ground following the July PCE inflation data and doesn't allow the pair to stage a rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD News
Gold retreats toward $2,500 ahead of the weekend

Gold retreats toward $2,500 ahead of the weekend

Gold stays under modest bearish pressure and declines toward $2,500 in the American session on Friday. The 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher toward 3.9% after US PCE inflation data, causing XAU/USD to stretch lower.

Gold News
Week ahead – Investors brace for NFP amid Fed rate cut speculation

Week ahead – Investors brace for NFP amid Fed rate cut speculation

Here comes another NFP week, with investors eagerly awaiting the results as they try to discern the size and pace of the Fed’s forthcoming rate cuts. The weaker than expected July numbers triggered market turbulence, instilling fears about a potential recession in the US.

Read more
Easing Eurozone inflation to back an ECB rate cut in September

Easing Eurozone inflation to back an ECB rate cut in September Premium

Eurostat will publish the preliminary estimate of the August Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices on Friday, and the anticipated outcome will back up the case for another European Central Bank interest rate cut when policymakers meet in September.

Read more
Moneta Markets review 2024: All you need to know

Moneta Markets review 2024: All you need to know

VERIFIED In this review, the FXStreet team provides an independent and thorough analysis based on direct testing and real experiences with Moneta Markets – an excellent broker for novice to intermediate forex traders who want to broaden their knowledge base.

Read More

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures