|

Gold price sticks to gains near all-time high ahead of US PPI; bulls shrug off modest USD strength

  • Gold price gains positive traction for the third straight day and climbs to a two-week high.
  • Trade war fears and Fed rate cut bets underpin the XAU/USD pair ahead of the US PPI.
  • A modest USD uptick holds back bulls from placing fresh bets and caps the precious metal. 

Gold price (XAU/USD) retains its positive bias through the first half of the European session on Thursday and remains within striking distance of the record high touched on February 24. Persistent worries about the potential economic fallout from US President Donald Trump's aggressive trade policies benefit the safe-haven bullion for the third successive day. Apart from this, the growing acceptance that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates several times this year amid worries about a tariff-driven US economic slowdown further underpins the non-yielding yellow metal.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) gains some positive traction and looks to build on the overnight bounce from its lowest level since October 16. This, in turn, might hold back traders from placing fresh bullish bets around the Gold price and cap any further appreciating move. Nevertheless, the aforementioned fundamental backdrop suggests that the path of least resistance for the XAU/USD pair remains to the upside. Investors now look forward to the release of the US Producer Price Index (PPI) to grab short-term opportunities later during the early North American session. 

Daily Digest Market Movers: Gold price sticks to gains as rising trade tensions offset modest USD uptick

  • The uncertainty surrounding US President Donald Trump's aggressive trade tariffs fuels concerns about the potential economic slowdown and continues to push investors toward traditional safe-haven assets. 
  • Trump's 25% tariff on all steel and aluminum imports took effect on Wednesday. Moreover, Trump threatened that he would respond to any countermeasures announced by the European Union and Canada.
  • The European Commission on Wednesday said that the EU will impose tariffs on $28 billion worth of US goods from next month, while Canada announced 25% tariffs on more than $20 billion worth of US goods.
  • Adding to this, a cooler US inflation report released on Wednesday lifted market bets for three 25-basis-point rate cuts each by the Federal Reserve at the June, July, and October monetary policy meetings. 
  • A report published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) showed that the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) eased more than expected, to the 2.8% YoY rate in February from 3% in the previous month.
  • Adding to this, the core gauge, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose 3.1% on a yearly basis during the reported month, marking a slowdown from the 3.3% increase registered in January. 
  • The US Dollar Index, which measures the Greenback against a basket of currencies, move away from its lowest level since October 16, though it does little to hinder a three-day-old uptrend for the Gold price.
  • Traders now look forward to the US economic docket, featuring the release of the Producer Price Index (PPI), for a fresh impetus and to grab short-term opportunities later during the North American session. 

Gold price approaches all-time peak around the $2,956 area; bulls not ready to give up yet

fxsoriginal

From a technical perspective, the overnight sustained move beyond the $2,928-2,930 horizontal barrier supports prospects for a move towards challenging the all-time peak, around the $2,956 area touched on February 24. Given that oscillators on the daily chart are holding comfortably in positive territory and are still away from being in the overbought zone, some follow-through buying will be seen as a fresh trigger for bulls. This, in turn, will set the stage for an extension of the recent well-established uptrend witnessed over the past three months or so.

On the flip side, the $2,930-2,828 resistance breakpoint now seems to protect the immediate downside, below which the Gold price could accelerate the slide back towards the $2,912-2,910 intermediate support en route to the $2,900 round figure. This is followed by the weekly low, around the $2,800 region. This is followed by the $2,860 zone, which if broken decisively could pave the way for deeper losses. The XAU/USD pair might then slide towards the late February swing low, around the $2,833-2,832 region, before eventually dropping to the $2,800 mark. 

US Dollar PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the Australian Dollar.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD 0.08%-0.00%-0.31%0.09%0.35%0.29%-0.10%
EUR-0.08% -0.09%-0.37%0.00%0.27%0.23%-0.17%
GBP0.00%0.09% -0.33%0.09%0.37%0.32%-0.08%
JPY0.31%0.37%0.33% 0.39%0.67%0.61%0.23%
CAD-0.09%-0.00%-0.09%-0.39% 0.28%0.22%-0.18%
AUD-0.35%-0.27%-0.37%-0.67%-0.28% -0.05%-0.43%
NZD-0.29%-0.23%-0.32%-0.61%-0.22%0.05% -0.36%
CHF0.10%0.17%0.08%-0.23%0.18%0.43%0.36% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD climbs to daily highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD now picks up pace and advances to the area of daily peaks north of the 1.1800 barrier at the end of the week. The pair’s decent move higher comes against the backdrop of a generalised lack of direction in the FX galaxy and the mild offered stance in the US Dollar.

GBP/USD trims losses, retests 1.3460

After briefly challenging its key 200-day SMA near 1.3440, GBP/USD now manages to regain some balance and revisit the 1.3460 zone on Friday. Cable’s pullback comes as the selling pressure on the Greenback gathers traction, reigniting some recovery in the risk-linked space.

Gold flirts with four-week highs past $5,200

Gold extends its rebound, climbing for a third consecutive session and pushing back above the $5,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The move higher continues to draw support from lingering geopolitical tensions and the ongoing uncertainty surrounding US trade policy, both of which are keeping safe-haven demand firmly in play.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate with short-term cautious bullish bias

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple are consolidating near key technical areas on Friday, showing mild signs of stabilization after recent volatility. BTC holds above $67,000 despite mild losses so far this week, while ETH hovers around $2,000 after a rejection near its upper consolidation boundary. 

Breaking: US and Israel attack Iran, risk aversion to sweep global markets

Early Saturday, United States (US) President Donald Trump announced that the US had begun “major combat operations” in Iran, following Israel’s pre-emptive missile attacks against Tehran.

Starknet unveils strkBTC, shielded Bitcoin transactions on Ethereum Layer 2

Starknet, the Ethereum Layer 2 network developed by StarkWare, today announced strkBTC, a wrapped Bitcoin asset that introduces optional shielding while preserving full DeFi composability.