Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD up 0.5% in Asia, but gains could be short-lived


  • Gold's 4-hour chart shows the price bounce from $1,863 has ended.
  • Short-term charts favor a retest of the psychological support of $1,900.

Gold is currently trading around $1,937 per ounce, representing a 0.5% gain on the day. 

The moderate gains seen at press time could be short-lived, as the US dollar, the biggest nemesis of gold, is witnessing an oversold bounce. The greenback picked up a bid on Wednesday after Federal Reserve’s July meeting minutes dashed hopes for additional measures like yield curve control. 

In addition, short duration charts have turned bearish, courtesy of Wednesday’s 3.67% decline, which violated the trendline rising from Aug. 12 and Aug. 16 lows. The downside break of the trendline is backed by a below-50 or bearish reading on the 4-hour chart relative strength index (RSI) and indicates that the bounce from the recent low of $1,863 has ended. 

Wednesday’s drop has also established a lower high on the daily chart – the first since September 2019. 

The odds, therefore, appear stacked in favor of decline to the psychological support of $1,900, which, if breached, would expose the low of $1,863 reached on Aug. 12. On the higher side, the newly created lower high of $2,015 is the level to beat for the bulls. 

Daily chart

Trend: Bearish

Technical levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1943.05
Today Daily Change 13.89
Today Daily Change % 0.72
Today daily open 1929.16
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1969.87
Daily SMA50 1855.01
Daily SMA100 1779.49
Daily SMA200 1662.04
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 2006.73
Previous Daily Low 1924.83
Previous Weekly High 2049.96
Previous Weekly Low 1863.24
Previous Monthly High 1984.8
Previous Monthly Low 1757.7
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1956.12
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1975.44
Daily Pivot Point S1 1900.42
Daily Pivot Point S2 1871.67
Daily Pivot Point S3 1818.52
Daily Pivot Point R1 1982.32
Daily Pivot Point R2 2035.47
Daily Pivot Point R3 2064.22

 

 

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