|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD to hover around $1850 by end-March 2022 – Deutsche Bank

Gold (XAU/USD) is down around 15% from its mid-2020 high and strategists at Deutsche Bank do not expect a major rebound. The rate of change in real yields has gone from sharply declining to relatively flat (or even rising) as nominal rates have begun to rise – providing less support for the yellow metal.

Key quotes

“A firmer US dollar and stabilising real yields (after rapid declines in 2020) have removed some tailwinds for gold. This has reduced investor appetite for gold as evidenced by falling retail and speculative investor positions.”

“We have revised down our 12-month price forecast although unexpected events or a sharp one-off increase in inflation expectations could provide some temporary support.” 

“End-March 2022 gold price forecast: $1,850/oz.”

Author

More from FXStreet Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: Gains remain capped by 1.1650

EUR/USD remains in recovery-mode following the closing bell in Euroland on Wednesday, hovering around the 1.1650 zone amid renewed downside pressure on the US Dollar and a marginal improvement in the global sentiment.

GBP/USD appears bid around 1.3370

GBP/USD reverses part of its recent multi-day decline, gathering some balance and managing to reach the 1.3400 region, where some initial resistance seems to have turned up. Cable’s uptick comes in response to some loss of momentum in the Greenback despite the geopolitical scenario remaining fragile.

Gold recovers modestly despite intensifying Middle East crisis

Gold keeps its daily gains well in place, although a break above the $5,200 mark per troy ounce still remains elusive on Wednesday. The yellow metal’s rebound comes in response to the persistent flight-to-safety amid intense geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the bearish performance of the US Dollar.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid mixed ETF flows

The cryptocurrency market is showing subtle recovery signs despite heightened global uncertainty following the United States (US) and Israel attacks on Iran and the subsequent retaliations that have morphed into a wider Middle East war.

First Venezuela, now Iran: The US-China energy war escalates

At first glance, the latest escalation involving the United States with both Iran and Venezuela looks like another chapter in a long-running geopolitical story. But viewed through a broader strategic lens, something else may be unfolding: Energy.

Bittensor extends recovery despite retail demand slump

Bittensor, a leading Artificial Intelligence token, is aging up above $190 at the time of writing on Wednesday. Steady price increases characterise the broader crypto market, with Bitcoin holding above $71,000 and Ethereum above $2,000.