Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD teases bulls above $1,900 as Biden nears US election win


  • Gold buyers eye breaking the monotony around $1,900 while extending recent pullback from $1,893.
  • Joe Biden wins Michigan, has 264 votes versus 270 required.
  • Ballot counting in Pennsylvania gains major attention, BOE and FOMC are additional catalysts worth watching.

Gold prices fade the recent uptick to $1,906 while easing to $1,904.50 during the pre-Tokyo open trading on Thursday. The yellow metal refreshed the two-week high the previous day but had to end the day with negligible losses as US election updates dim odds of the blue wave. However, the latest rise in the bullion could be attributed to the risk-positive news suggesting the Democratic candidate Joe Biden’s victory in Michigan.

Having secured a lead in Michigan, Biden has 264 electoral votes in his pocket versus nearly 215 counts by the current President Donald Trump. However, the key state Pennsylvania is yet to roll out the counts amid controversy over the ballots. While the Pennsylvanian Governor Tom Wolf strongly resist any efforts to shut down vote counting, the actual results are likely to take beyond Friday.

Elsewhere, Italy announces lockdown in Lombardy, including the financial capital Milan, to tame the coronavirus (COVID-19) wave 2.0. As per the latest virus update from Reuters, “Italy saw 352 COVID-related deaths on Wednesday after registering 353 the day before, the health ministry reported earlier, while the daily tally of new infections rose to 30,550 from 28,244.”

Against this backdrop, S&P 500 Futures drop 0.27% whereas the US 10-year Treasury yields also stay weaker below 0.80% by press time.

Although the US election updates will keep the driver’s seat, with Democratic victory likely benefiting the gold buyers, key monetary policy meeting from the US and the UK central banks will also be important to watch. While the Fed is less likely to offer any fresh moves, the BOE is up for a controversial rate cut to the negative zone.

Technical analysis

A falling trend line from September 01, currently around $1,912, becomes immediate key resistance. Alternatively, bears refrain from entries unless witnessing a clear break below the previous month’s low of $1,860.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 1904.61
Today Daily Change -1.63
Today Daily Change % -0.09%
Today daily open 1906.24
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1900.62
Daily SMA50 1914.55
Daily SMA100 1893.12
Daily SMA200 1773.3
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1910.64
Previous Daily Low 1887.12
Previous Weekly High 1911.46
Previous Weekly Low 1860
Previous Monthly High 1933.3
Previous Monthly Low 1860
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1901.66
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1896.1
Daily Pivot Point S1 1892.03
Daily Pivot Point S2 1877.81
Daily Pivot Point S3 1868.51
Daily Pivot Point R1 1915.55
Daily Pivot Point R2 1924.85
Daily Pivot Point R3 1939.07

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD drops to near 1.0600, awaits US inflation data

EUR/USD drops to near 1.0600, awaits US inflation data

The EUR/USD pair remains under pressure on Wednesday, holding steady just above the 1.0600 level during Asian trading hours. This would mark the fourth consecutive day of losses for the Euro, as the pair continues to face downward momentum.

EUR/USD News
GBP/USD falls to near 1.2750 ahead of BoE Mann speech

GBP/USD falls to near 1.2750 ahead of BoE Mann speech

GBP/USD extends its losing streak for the fourth successive session, trading around 1.2740 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. This downside of the pair is attributed to a stronger US Dollar amid optimism around the Trump trades.

GBP/USD News
Gold price sticks to gains above $2,600 amid some repositioning ahead of US CPI

Gold price sticks to gains above $2,600 amid some repositioning ahead of US CPI

Gold price staged a notable recovery from a nearly two-month low touched on Tuesday. Elevated US bond yields and a bullish USD might cap gains for the non-yielding XAU/USD. Traders now look forward to the crucial US consumer inflation figures for a fresh impetus. 

Gold News
US CPI data preview: Inflation expected to rebound for first time in seven months

US CPI data preview: Inflation expected to rebound for first time in seven months

The US Consumer Price Index is set to rise 2.6% YoY in October, faster than September’s 2.4% increase. Annual core CPI inflation is expected to remain at 3.3% in October. The inflation data could significantly impact the market’s pricing of the Fed’s interest rate outlook and the US Dollar value.

Read more
Five fundamentals: Fallout from the US election, inflation, and a timely speech from Powell stand out

Five fundamentals: Fallout from the US election, inflation, and a timely speech from Powell stand out Premium

What a week – the US election lived up to their hype, at least when it comes to market volatility. There is no time to rest, with politics, geopolitics, and economic data promising more volatility ahead.

Read more
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.

Read More

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures