Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD struggles for direction, stuck in a range around $1730 area


  • Gold reversed an early dip to weekly lows and was supported by a combination of factors.
  • The USD witnessed profit-taking amid sliding US bond yields and extended some support.
  • A goodish rebound in the US equity futures kept a lid on any further gains for the commodity.

Gold held on to its modest intraday gains through the mid-European session, albeit lacked any follow-through buying. The commodity was last seen trading near the $1730 region, up 0.20% for the day.

Following an early dip to weekly lows, the precious metal managed to regain some positive traction and recovered a part of the previous day's losses. The early uptick was supported by the ongoing decline in the US Treasury bond yields, which tends to benefit the non-yielding yellow metal.

In fact, the yield on the benchmark 10-year US government bond momentarily slipped below 1.6% on Wednesday amid easing inflation worries. The Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Tuesday painted an optimistic picture of the economy and downplayed the risks that growth would spur unwanted inflation.

Meanwhile, retreating US bond yields prompted some profit-taking around the US dollar, which was seen as another factor that underpinned the dollar-denominated commodity. However, a positive turnaround in the equity markets kept a lid on any meaningful upside for the safe-haven XAU/USD.

Looking at the technical picture, the commodity has repeatedly struggled to capitalize on its move beyond the $1740-42 supply zone. Apart from this, the overnight break below a two-week-old ascending trend-line support might have already set the stage for further near-term weakness.

Market participants now look forward to the US economic docket, highlighting the release of Durable Goods Orders and flash PMI prints for March. Apart from this, Fed Chair Jerome Powell's second testimony before the US Congress might provide some trading impetus to the XAU/USD.

Technical levels to watch

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1730.18
Today Daily Change 3.23
Today Daily Change % 0.19
Today daily open 1726.95
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1729.64
Daily SMA50 1789.29
Daily SMA100 1828.11
Daily SMA200 1860.61
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1742.58
Previous Daily Low 1724.76
Previous Weekly High 1755.59
Previous Weekly Low 1719.3
Previous Monthly High 1871.9
Previous Monthly Low 1717.24
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1731.57
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1735.77
Daily Pivot Point S1 1720.28
Daily Pivot Point S2 1713.61
Daily Pivot Point S3 1702.46
Daily Pivot Point R1 1738.1
Daily Pivot Point R2 1749.25
Daily Pivot Point R3 1755.92

 

 

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