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Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD rebounds from Fibo support, stays below $1,900

  • Gold is staging a rebound following Monday's slump.
  • XAU/USD stays below a cluster of moving averages. 
  • A daily close below $1,850 could cause the outlook to turn bearish.

After climbing to its highest level since mid-September at $1,965 on Monday, the XAU/USD pair made a sharp U-turn and suffered its largest daily percentage decline since early August. The pair closed at $1,861 and lost 4.58% but started to erase its losses on Tuesday. As of writing, XAU/USD was up 1.2% on the day at $1,884.

Gold technical outlook

Despite Tuesday's rebound, XAU/USD continues to trade below the 20-day, 50-day and 100-day SMAs, which are currently located around $1,900 psychological level. Additionally, the Fibonacci 50% retracement of the June-August uptrend is reinforcing this resistance area. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator on the daily chart stays below 50, suggesting that the pair is making a technical correction. Only a decisive break above $1,900 could attract more buyers and help XAU/USD shake off the bearish pressure.

On the other hand, the Fibonacci 61.8% retracement of the same trend seems to have formed important support at $1,850. If price makes a daily close below $1,850, it could extend its slide toward $1,815 (former resistance).

Gold daily chart

Additional levels to watch for

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1883.46
Today Daily Change17.82
Today Daily Change %0.96
Today daily open1865.64
 
Trends
Daily SMA201902.5
Daily SMA501911.69
Daily SMA1001900.34
Daily SMA2001780.11
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1965.58
Previous Daily Low1850.56
Previous Weekly High1960.4
Previous Weekly Low1873.52
Previous Monthly High1933.3
Previous Monthly Low1860
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1894.5
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1921.64
Daily Pivot Point S11822.27
Daily Pivot Point S21778.91
Daily Pivot Point S31707.25
Daily Pivot Point R11937.29
Daily Pivot Point R22008.95
Daily Pivot Point R32052.31

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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