|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD rallies seen as corrective while below $1765 – Commerzbank

Gold’s bounce ahead of the June low at $1670 is viewed as corrective. XAU/USD will need to regain $1765 to alleviate downside pressure, as reported by Commerzbank.

See – Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD to see selling pressure once more beyond the quarter-end – OCBC

Key quotes

“The market is bouncing just ahead of the $1670 June low and the $1675 2019-2021 uptrend. However, rallies are indicated to be corrective only AND initial resistance is offered by the $1760/65 band, which is the May high and November low blocks the way higher.” 

“A close above $1760/65 is needed in order to alleviate downside pressure and signal a deeper recovery to the $1800-$1820 band, but various Elliott wave counts suggest that this should be it on the topside. 

“Above the $1800-$1820 band lies $1861.35, the 200-day ma and $1906, the 21st December high, and the top of the channel at $1918. This guards the November and September highs at $1965.84/$1973.8 and the 78.6% retracement at 2006.” 

“Below $1670 would imply ongoing weakness to the $1584/78.6% retracement.”

Author

More from FXStreet Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD accelerates losses, focus is on 1.1800

EUR/USD’s selling pressure is gathering pace now, opening the door to a potential test of the key 1.1800 region sooner rather than later. The pair’s pullback comes on the back of marked gains in the US Dollar following US data releases and the publication of the FOMC Minutes later in the day.

GBP/USD turns negative near 1.3540

GBP/USD reverses its initial upside momentum and is now adding to previous declines, revisiting at the same time the 1.3540 region on Wednesday. Cable’s downtick comes on the back of decent gains in the Greenback and easing UK inflation figures, which seem to have reinforced the case for a BoE rate cut in March.

Gold reclaims $5,000 and above

Gold is back on the front foot on Wednesday, shaking off part of the early week softness and challenging two-day highs just above the key $5,000 mark per troy ounce. The move comes ahead of the FOMC Minutes and is unfolding despite an intense rebound in the US Dollar.

Fed Minutes to shed light on January hold decision amid hawkish rate outlook

The Minutes of the Fed’s January 27-28 monetary policy meeting will be published today. Details of discussions on the decision to leave the policy rate unchanged will be scrutinized by investors.

Mixed UK inflation data no gamechanger for the Bank of England

Food inflation plunged in January, but service sector price pressure is proving stickier. We continue to expect Bank of England rate cuts in March and June. The latest UK inflation read is a mixed bag for the Bank of England, but we doubt it drastically changes the odds of a March rate cut.

Sui extends sideways action ahead of Grayscale’s GSUI ETF launch

Sui is extending its downtrend for the second consecutive day, trading at 0.95 at the time of writing on Wednesday. The Layer-1 token is down over 16% in February and approximately 34% from the start of the year, aligning with the overall bearish sentiment across the crypto market.