Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD path of least resistance is up after whipsaw – Confluence Detector


Inflation fears are rising – as seen in both the Consumer Price Index figures and the University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment data. Is gold still a hedge against rising prices? That remains debatable, but the increase in the precious metal's value is clear. It is more related to the Federal Reserve's insistence that any such move is transitory. 

Where next for gold price from here? 

The Technical Confluences Detector is showing that XAU/USD has some support at $1,829, which is the convergence of the Simple Moving Average 5-4h, the previous daily high, the Bollinger Band one-hour Middle, the 5-day SMA and more. 

The gold price has an even more significant cushion at $1,814, which is the meeting point of the Pivot Point one-day Support 1 and the Fibonacci 38.2% one week. 

Looking up, some resistance awaits at $1,841, which is the confluence of the BB one-day Upper, the PP one-day Resistance 2 and more. 

Another minor cap is at $1,850, which is where the PP one-month R2 hits the gold price. 

All in all, XAU/USD has strong support and weak resistance, pointing to further gains. 

XAU/USD resistance and support levels

Confluence Detector

The Confluence Detector finds exciting opportunities using Technical Confluences. The TC is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

Learn more about Technical Confluence

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD trades deep in red below 1.0300 after strong US jobs report

EUR/USD trades deep in red below 1.0300 after strong US jobs report

EUR/USD stays under bearish pressure and trades below 1.0300 in the American session on Friday. The US Dollar benefits from the upbeat jobs report, which showed an increase of 256,000 in Nonfarm Payrolls, and forces the pair to stay on the back foot heading into the weekend.

EUR/USD News
GBP/USD drops toward 1.2200 on broad USD demand

GBP/USD drops toward 1.2200 on broad USD demand

GBP/USD extends its weekly slide and trades at its weakest level since November 2023 below 1.2250. The data from the US showed that Nonfarm Payrolls rose by 256,000 in December, fuelling a US Dollar rally and weighing on the pair.

GBP/USD News
Gold ignores upbeat US data, approaches $2,700

Gold ignores upbeat US data, approaches $2,700

Following a drop toward $2,660 with the immediate reaction to strong US employment data for December, Gold regained its traction and climbed towards $2,700. The risk-averse market atmosphere seems to be supporting XAU/USD despite renewed USD strength.

Gold News
Sui bulls eyes for a new all-time high of $6.35

Sui bulls eyes for a new all-time high of $6.35

Sui price recovers most of its weekly losses and trades around $5.06 at the time of writing on Friday. On-chain metrics hint at a rally ahead as SUI’s long-to-short ratio reaches the highest level in over a month, and open interest is also rising.

Read more
Think ahead: Mixed inflation data

Think ahead: Mixed inflation data

Core CPI data from the US next week could ease concerns about prolonged elevated inflation while in Central and Eastern Europe, inflation readings look set to remain high.

Read more
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.

Read More

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures