|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD on the defensive below $1930 level

  • Gold struggled to capitalize on its early uptick amid a goodish pickup in the USD demand.
  • The downside seems limited on the back of concerns about the global economic recovery.

Gold refreshed daily lows, around the $1927-26 region during the early European session, albeit lacked any strong follow-through selling.

The precious metal failed to capitalize on its early uptick, instead met with some fresh supply near the $1941-42 region and was being pressured by a strong pickup in the US dollar demand. As investors looked past Friday's mixed US monthly jobs report, the greenback was back in demand on the first day of a new trading week. This, in turn, was seen as one of the key factors weighing on the dollar-denominated commodity.

However, concerns about the global economic recovery, amid the ever-increasing COVID-19 cases extended some support to the precious metal's safe-haven status. Moreover, holiday-thinned liquidity conditions might further hold investors from placing any aggressive bets and might help limit any deeper losses, at least for the time being.

From a technical perspective, the commodity on Friday slipped below a near three-month-old ascending trend-line support but managed to find some support ahead of the $1900 mark. The subsequent range-bound price action warrants some caution for bearish traders and before positioning for any further near-term depreciating move.

A convincing break below the mentioned $1900 level should pave the way for a slide towards August monthly swing lows support near the $1863-62 region. The US markets are closed on Monday in observance of Labor Day. Hence, the USD price dynamics might continue to act as an exclusive driver of the commodity's intraday momentum.

Technical levels to watch

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1928.81
Today Daily Change-5.35
Today Daily Change %-0.28
Today daily open1934.16
 
Trends
Daily SMA201950.37
Daily SMA501903.26
Daily SMA1001812.68
Daily SMA2001690.86
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1949.5
Previous Daily Low1916.42
Previous Weekly High1992.42
Previous Weekly Low1916.42
Previous Monthly High2075.32
Previous Monthly Low1863.24
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1936.86
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1929.06
Daily Pivot Point S11917.22
Daily Pivot Point S21900.28
Daily Pivot Point S31884.14
Daily Pivot Point R11950.3
Daily Pivot Point R21966.44
Daily Pivot Point R31983.38

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD hits two-day highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD picks up pace and reaches two-day tops around 1.1820 at the end of the week. The pair’s move higher comes on the back of renewed weakness in the US Dollar amid growing talk that the Fed could deliver an interest rate cut as early as March. On the docket, the flash US Consumer Sentiment improves to 57.3 in February.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold climbs further, focus is back to 45,000

Gold regains upside traction and surpasses the $4,900 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, shifting its attention to the critical $5,000 region. The move reflects a shift in risk sentiment, driving flows back towards traditional safe haven assets and supporting the yellow metal.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid risk-off, $2.6 billion liquidation wave

Bitcoin edges up above $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as dust from the recent macro-triggered sell-off settles. The leading altcoin, Ethereum, hovers above $1,900, but resistance at $2,000 caps the upside. Meanwhile, Ripple has recorded the largest intraday jump among the three assets, up over 10% to $1.35.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.