|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD nurses biggest losses in three months around $1,850

  • Gold stays depressed near the lowest in six weeks.
  • US dollar recovery, Wall Street gains shifted funds off the bullion.
  • Vaccine hopes from Pfizer/BioNTech magnified early Monday's market optimism, led by US election results.

Gold prices lick their wounds around $1,956, near the lowest since September 28, during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The yellow metal posted the heaviest declines since August 11, while refreshing the multi-day low, after the news concerning the coronavirus (COVID-19) propelled market sentiment and extended the US dollar strength.

Vaccine hopes bolster market optimism…

With a 90% effective rate, the covid vaccine from Pfizer-BioNTech offers the biggest success in finding the cure for the deadly virus. Global markets cheer the welcome development while magnifying the initial optimism backed by Joe Biden’s victory in the US elections.

The mood enthused DJI30 and S&P 500 Futures to refresh the record highs whereas the US 10-year Treasury yields also rose sharply, with over 10 basis points (bps) to 0.92%, by the end of Monday’s North American trading. Further, the US dollar index (DXY) also benefited from the risk-on mood while bouncing off September 01 low to 92.83.

In doing so, global traders dumped gold while taking the risk of the greenback and heavy profits from equities. However, the bullion bears seem to turn cautious as the quote approaches September lows that hold the key to the further downside towards the early July top.

Also, fears that the US economy still faces the risk of a default wave, as conveyed by the US Federal Reserve’s biannual Financial Stability Report, probe the risk-on mood. In the same line, American disappointment over European trade tariffs and uncertainty over Brexit join hands with Donald Trump’s efforts to keep the White House while suggesting additional challenges to the market optimism.

On the calendar, China inflation data for October can entertain Asian traders while risk catalysts, mentioned above, will keep the driver’s seat.

Technical analysis

September month’s low near $1,848 becomes the key support to watch as a break of which can recall the early-July top surrounding $1,818.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1856.4
Today Daily Change-96.00
Today Daily Change %-4.92%
Today daily open1952.4
 
Trends
Daily SMA201905.36
Daily SMA501913.73
Daily SMA1001899.24
Daily SMA2001778.72
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1960.4
Previous Daily Low1935.7
Previous Weekly High1960.4
Previous Weekly Low1873.52
Previous Monthly High1933.3
Previous Monthly Low1860
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1950.96
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1945.14
Daily Pivot Point S11938.6
Daily Pivot Point S21924.8
Daily Pivot Point S31913.9
Daily Pivot Point R11963.3
Daily Pivot Point R21974.2
Daily Pivot Point R31988

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD looks sidelined below 1.1600

EUR/USD remains on the back foot in the latter part of the NA session on Thursday, now attempting a consolidative theme in the sub-1.1600 region. A more cautious market mood, driven by the escalating conflict in the Middle East, together with broad-based strength in the US Dollar, is favouring the continuation of the leg lower in spot.

GBP/USD stays offered near 1.3340

GBP/USD fades Wednesday’s uptick and trades with decent losses in the 1.3340 zone in the latter part of Thursday’s session. Cable’s weakness, alongside the rest of the risk complex, follows the strong performance of the Greenback amid intense geopolitical jitters.

Gold: further weakness could challenge $5,000

Gold comes under fresh selling pressure on Thursday, slipping back below the $5,100 mark per troy ounce. Persistent strength in the US Dollar (USD) is preventing the yellow metal from building a meaningful recovery, even as markets remain risk-averse amid the deepening conflict in the Middle East.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP hold weekly gains despite US-Iran war

The cryptocurrency market is gaining strength on Thursday, building on Wednesday's upswing, which saw Bitcoin reach a weekly high above $74,000. Ethereum and Ripple are moderating their recent gains amid uncertainty stemming from the escalating war in the Middle East.

Two PMIs, two Chinas

China’s economic data are often treated with a degree of caution by global investors. The challenge is not necessarily that the numbers are incorrect, but that they can describe very different parts of a vast and complex economy. Nowhere is that more evident than in China’s PMIs.

Ripple tests recovery strength amid steady ETF inflows, growing retail interest

Ripple (XRP) continues to demonstrate notable resilience as the cryptocurrency market navigates the persistent war in the Middle East after the United States (US) and Israel attacked Iran on Saturday.