|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD needs to overcome $1,956 to unleash the upside – Confluence Detector

Gold has kicked off the new week by a minor rise from the lows, yet it shows some hesitance. The main downward driver for XAU/USD in the previous week was the Federal Reserve's relative hawkishness. The world's most powerful central bank seemed reluctant to introduce more stimulus. Less money printing means diminished support for the precious metal.

However, Jerome Powell, Chairman of the Federal Reserve, is set to speak on Thursday and is set to lay out an updated view on the economy. Moreover, he may change his mind and clarify that the bank is ready to do more – including capping bond yields. Lower returns on US debt mean the yellow metal is more attractive. 

How is XAU/USD positioned on the charts?

The Technical Confluences Indicator is showing that gold is facing critical resistance at $1,956, which is the convergence of the Simple Moving Average 10-one-day and the previous daily high. 

Further up, a soft cap awaits at $1,961, which is the meeting point of the SMA 5-one-day and the Pivot Point one-day Resistance 1. 

Support awaits at $1,939, which is a dense cluster including the SMA 5-4h, the BB 1h-Middle, the SMA 50-15m, the SMA 10-4h, and the Fibonacci 61.8% one-day. 

Further down, the next cushion is at $1,932, which is the confluence of the Fibonacci 23.6% one-month and the previous 4h-low. 

Key XAU/USD resistances and supports

Confluence Detector

The Confluence Detector finds exciting opportunities using Technical Confluences. The TC is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

Learn more about Technical Confluence

Author

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

FXStreet

Yohay is in Forex since 2008 when he founded Forex Crunch, a blog crafted in his free time that turned into a fully-fledged currency website later sold to Finixio.

More from Yohay Elam
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: Breakdown below trading range support near 1.1770 comes into play

The EUR/USD pair opens with a bearish gap at the start of a new week as the US-Iran war-led global flight to safety boosts the US Dollar. Spot prices, however, lack follow-through selling and manage to hold above mid-1.1700s during the Asian session.

GBP/USD targets 1.3500 barrier near moving averages

GBP/USD rebounds from the daily losses, trading around 1.3450 during the Asian hours on Monday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates an ongoing bearish bias, as the pair trades within a descending channel pattern.

Gold jumps over 2% toward $5,400 after US, Israel attack Iran

Gold is on fire at the start of the week, a widely expected move, as investors seek harbor in the traditional store of value, following the continued US and Israel attacks on Iran. The bright metal opened with a bullish gap of about $17 and rallied toward the $5,400 level as Asian traders hit their desks and reacted negatively to the weekend news of the Middle East conflict, rushing for cover in Gold.

Iran escalation: Quick thoughts on markets

Markets are likely to open the week with risk-off, with declines led by airlines, cyclicals and trade-exposed names, while energy, defense and “strategic” sectors may be relatively steadier.

Crisis in the Middle East: The market reaction

A primer on how markets will open on Monday, and why geopolitical risk may not be easily absorbed by financial markets this time around. Geopolitics and events between Iran, the US and the wider Middle East will dominate financial markets on Monday. The situation has continued to escalate as we move through Sunday. 

Starknet unveils strkBTC, shielded Bitcoin transactions on Ethereum Layer 2

Starknet, the Ethereum Layer 2 network developed by StarkWare, today announced strkBTC, a wrapped Bitcoin asset that introduces optional shielding while preserving full DeFi composability.