Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD looks for a firm direction above 50-day SMA


  • Gold prices recover from an intraday low of $1,723.92.
  • The US-China talks in Hawaii offer mixed clues amid virus fears.
  • PBOC rate cut, India-China tension and ADB’s downbeat forecasts also failed to offer strong direction.

Gold prices remain directionless around $1,727 while heading into the European session on Thursday. The yellow metal recently bounced off intraday low on fresh US-China tension but remains near the previous day’s close.

Other than the US-China updates, which suggest a continuation of a difference among the world’s top two economies, fears of the second wave of coronavirus (COVID-19) also weigh on the market’s risk-tone. The latest figures from the US suggest a jump in Texas virus cases while the hospitalization rate shot up in Florida and Oklahoma on Wednesday. Even so, the receding numbers of cases from China and US President Donald Trump’s hint of a cure to the deadly disease seem to counter the risk-off mood.

It should also be noted the India-China tussle and the Asian Developments Bank’s (ADB) downward revision to the growth forecasts for 2020 also weigh on the market’s trading sentiment. Though, a surprise rate cut by the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) should have tamed the pessimism but mostly gone unnoticed.

Amid all these catalysts, the US 10-year Treasury yields remain downbeat around 0.70%, whereas Asian stocks print mild losses by the press time. The US dollar index (DXY), a gauge of the greenback against major currencies that has an inverse correlation with Gold, drops 0.08% to 96.99 as we write.

Considering the market’s recent mixed reaction to the qualitative catalysts, the range-bound trading of gold prices are likely to continue amid a light calendar.

Technical analysis

Although the bullion’s repeated bounces off a 50-day SMA level of $1,715.80 keeps buyers hopeful, the monthly high near $1,745 acts as the tough upside barrier for traders to watch.

additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 1727.1
Today Daily Change 0.08
Today Daily Change % 0.00%
Today daily open 1727.02
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1720.62
Daily SMA50 1714.11
Daily SMA100 1655.07
Daily SMA200 1577.73
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1730.32
Previous Daily Low 1712.76
Previous Weekly High 1744.75
Previous Weekly Low 1677.73
Previous Monthly High 1765.38
Previous Monthly Low 1670.72
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1719.47
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1723.61
Daily Pivot Point S1 1716.41
Daily Pivot Point S2 1705.81
Daily Pivot Point S3 1698.85
Daily Pivot Point R1 1733.97
Daily Pivot Point R2 1740.93
Daily Pivot Point R3 1751.53

 

 

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