Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD in search of a firm direction, confined in a range around $1930


  • Gold was seen oscillating in a range through the early European session on Wednesday.
  • A modest bounce in the US equity futures undermined the metal’s safe-haven demand.
  • Sustained USD buying interest also collaborated to cap the dollar-denominated commodity.

Gold lacked any firm directional bias and remained confined in a narrow trading band, around the $1930 region through the early European session.

Having found a decent support near the $1906 region, around 50-day SMA, the precious staged a goodish bounce on Tuesday from two-week lows and finally settled nearly unchanged for the day. The recovery was triggered by the global flight to safety amid a major selloff in the US equity markets.

Against the backdrop of the ever-increasing coronavirus cases and doubts over the sustainability of the US economic recovery, AstraZeneca delayed testing of a coronavirus vaccine weighed on investors' sentiment. This, in turn, boosted demand for traditional safe-haven assets, including gold.

The global risk sentiment further took hit on the back of increased risk of a no-deal Brexit. The market worries resurfaced after the UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson threatened to walk away from Brexit talks if a deal is not reached by mid-October.

However, a modest bounce in the US equity futures kept a lid on any further gains for the metal. Adding to this, sustained US dollar buying interest further collaborated towards capping the upside for the dollar-denominated commodity and led to a subdued/range-bound price action on Wednesday.

From a technical perspective, Tuesday's downfall confirmed a near-term breakdown below a symmetrical triangle. That said, the lack of follow-through selling below the 50-day SMA warrants some caution for bearish traders and positioning for any further near-term depreciating move.

On the other hand, bulls might still need to wait for a sustained strength beyond the $1940-45 supply zone in order to confirm that the commodity might have formed a strong base and placing fresh bets.

Technical levels to watch

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1933.44
Today Daily Change 1.66
Today Daily Change % 0.09
Today daily open 1931.78
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1946.48
Daily SMA50 1909.41
Daily SMA100 1817.48
Daily SMA200 1695.53
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1940.9
Previous Daily Low 1906.62
Previous Weekly High 1992.42
Previous Weekly Low 1916.42
Previous Monthly High 2075.32
Previous Monthly Low 1863.24
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1927.81
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1919.71
Daily Pivot Point S1 1911.97
Daily Pivot Point S2 1892.15
Daily Pivot Point S3 1877.69
Daily Pivot Point R1 1946.25
Daily Pivot Point R2 1960.71
Daily Pivot Point R3 1980.53

 

 

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