|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD eyes key $1831 support after benign Fed – Confluence Detector

Gold (XAU/USD) wavers below $1850, consolidating the Fed-led downside, as traders await the US Q4 advance GDP release for a fresh direction.

Gold lost ground once again on Wednesday after the Fed left its key rates unchanged while maintaining the current bond-buying at $120 billion per month. Benign Fed and mounting tensions over the covid surge knocked-of the stocks and boosted the safe-haven demand for the US dollar.

Let’s take a look at the key technical levels for trading gold in the day ahead.

Gold Price Chart: Key resistances and supports

The Technical Confluences Indicator shows that gold is challenging immediate support at $1836, which is the confluence of the previous low one-hour and Fibonacci 23.6% one-day.  

The bears need acceptance below the critical $1831 cushion, where the previous low one-day, Fibonacci 61.8% one-week and pivot point one-day S1.

The next downside target is seen at the Fibonacci 61.8% one-month at $1827. A sharp sell-off below the latter cannot be ruled out, exposing powerful support at $1817, the pivot point one-month S1.

Alternatively, the bulls face a dense cluster of resistance levels around $1842, above which the Fibonacci 61.8% one-day at $1845 guards the upside.

Further up, it is likely to be an uphill task for the XAU bulls until the Fibonacci 38.2% one-month at $1857 is scaled on a sustained basis.

Here is how it looks on the tool

fxsoriginal

About Confluence Detector

The TCI (Technical Confluences Indicator) is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD faces some resistance near 100-SMA on H4, around 1.1830 zone

The EUR/USD pair gains some follow-through positive traction for the second consecutive day and climbs to the 1.1830 region during the Asian session on Thursday. The US Dollar remains on the back foot amid concerns about the economic fallout from US President Donald Trump's erratic trade policies and acts as a tailwind for spot prices.

GBP/USD extends recovery to near 20-day EMA as US Dollar weakens

The Pound Sterling holds onto weekly gains around 1.3565 against the US Dollar during the Asian trading session on Thursday. The GBP/USD pair trades firmly as the US Dollar remains under pressure due to uncertainty surrounding the United States trade policy outlook.

Gold struggle with $5,200 extends ahead of more US-Iran talks

Gold is replicating the recovery moves seen in Wednesday’s Asian trading early Thursday, as buyers continue to flirt with the $5,200 level. Sustained US Dollar weakness and looming US-Iran talks aid the bright metal’s rebound.  

Stellar: Relief bounce fades as bearish undertone persists

Stellar is trading around $0.16 at the time of writing on Thursday after rebounding more than 8% in the previous day. Derivatives data paints a negative picture as XLM’s short bets hit a monthly high while Open Interest continues to decline.

Nvidia delivers another monster earnings report, and forecasts big things to come

It was another monster earnings report from Nvidia for fiscal Q4. Revenues were $68.1bn, smashing estimates of $65bn. Gross profit margin was a healthy 75%, up from 73.5% in the prior quarter, and the outlook for this quarter was monstrous.

Solana strikes key resistance with double-digit gains

Solana trades at $88 at press time on Thursday, after an 11% upswing the previous day within a broader consolidation range of roughly three weeks. Institutional demand for Solana heightens as US spot SOL Exchange Traded Funds record $30 million of inflow on Wednesday.