Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD eases from tops, downside remains cushioned


  • Gold struggled to capitalize on its intraday positive move to the $1,790 region.
  • A modest bounce in the equity markets, US bond yields exerted some pressure.
  • The prevalent USD selling bias should help limit the downside for the commodity.

Gold surrendered its modest intraday gains and refreshed daily lows, around the $1,781 region during the early European session, albeit lacked follow-through selling.

A combination of factors failed to assist the precious metal to capitalize on its early uptick, instead prompted some fresh selling around the $1,790 region. Bearish traders might now be looking to extend the previous day's retracement slide from the vicinity of the $1,800 round-figure mark, or near two-month tops.

Investors seemed to have digested the overnight report that the Biden administration is seeking an increase in the capital gains tax for wealthy individuals to near 40%. This was evident from a goodish rebound in the US equity futures. This, in turn, was seen as a key factor that undermined the safe-haven XAU/USD.

Apart from this, a modest uptick in the US Treasury bond yields further acted as a headwind for the non-yielding yellow metal. The negative factors, to a larger extent, were offset by the prevalent bearish sentiment surrounding the US dollar, which languished near multi-week lows amid reduced bets for an earlier Fed lift-off.

Investors now seem convinced with the view that any spike in inflation is likely to be transitory and that the Fed will keep interest rates near zero levels for a longer period. This was seen as a key factor that extended some support to the dollar-denominated commodity and should help limit deeper losses, at least for now.

Market participants now look forward to the release of the flash Manufacturing and Services PMI prints. The data will offer fresh insight into how the economy is performing and influence the USD. This, along with the US bond yields and the broader market risk sentiment, might provide some impetus to the XAU/USD.

Technical levels to watch

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1781.94
Today Daily Change -2.18
Today Daily Change % -0.12
Today daily open 1784.12
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1744.16
Daily SMA50 1748.33
Daily SMA100 1804.1
Daily SMA200 1857.18
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1797.93
Previous Daily Low 1777.48
Previous Weekly High 1783.85
Previous Weekly Low 1723.8
Previous Monthly High 1759.98
Previous Monthly Low 1676.87
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1785.29
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1790.12
Daily Pivot Point S1 1775.09
Daily Pivot Point S2 1766.06
Daily Pivot Point S3 1754.64
Daily Pivot Point R1 1795.54
Daily Pivot Point R2 1806.96
Daily Pivot Point R3 1815.99

 

 

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