|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD eases from tops, downside remains cushioned

  • Gold struggled to capitalize on its intraday positive move to the $1,790 region.
  • A modest bounce in the equity markets, US bond yields exerted some pressure.
  • The prevalent USD selling bias should help limit the downside for the commodity.

Gold surrendered its modest intraday gains and refreshed daily lows, around the $1,781 region during the early European session, albeit lacked follow-through selling.

A combination of factors failed to assist the precious metal to capitalize on its early uptick, instead prompted some fresh selling around the $1,790 region. Bearish traders might now be looking to extend the previous day's retracement slide from the vicinity of the $1,800 round-figure mark, or near two-month tops.

Investors seemed to have digested the overnight report that the Biden administration is seeking an increase in the capital gains tax for wealthy individuals to near 40%. This was evident from a goodish rebound in the US equity futures. This, in turn, was seen as a key factor that undermined the safe-haven XAU/USD.

Apart from this, a modest uptick in the US Treasury bond yields further acted as a headwind for the non-yielding yellow metal. The negative factors, to a larger extent, were offset by the prevalent bearish sentiment surrounding the US dollar, which languished near multi-week lows amid reduced bets for an earlier Fed lift-off.

Investors now seem convinced with the view that any spike in inflation is likely to be transitory and that the Fed will keep interest rates near zero levels for a longer period. This was seen as a key factor that extended some support to the dollar-denominated commodity and should help limit deeper losses, at least for now.

Market participants now look forward to the release of the flash Manufacturing and Services PMI prints. The data will offer fresh insight into how the economy is performing and influence the USD. This, along with the US bond yields and the broader market risk sentiment, might provide some impetus to the XAU/USD.

Technical levels to watch

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1781.94
Today Daily Change-2.18
Today Daily Change %-0.12
Today daily open1784.12
 
Trends
Daily SMA201744.16
Daily SMA501748.33
Daily SMA1001804.1
Daily SMA2001857.18
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1797.93
Previous Daily Low1777.48
Previous Weekly High1783.85
Previous Weekly Low1723.8
Previous Monthly High1759.98
Previous Monthly Low1676.87
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1785.29
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1790.12
Daily Pivot Point S11775.09
Daily Pivot Point S21766.06
Daily Pivot Point S31754.64
Daily Pivot Point R11795.54
Daily Pivot Point R21806.96
Daily Pivot Point R31815.99

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays below 1.1850 after dismal German sentiment data

EUR/USD stays in negative territory below 1.1850 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. Renewed US Dollar strength, combined with a softer risk tone keep the pair undermined alongside downbeat German ZEW sentiment readings for February. 

GBP/USD falls toward 1.3550, pressured by weak UK jobs report

GBP/USD remains under bearish pressure and extends its decline below 1.3600 on Tuesday. The United Kingdom employment data suggested worsening labor market conditions, bolstering bets for a BoE interest rate cut next month and making it difficult for Pound Sterling to stay resilient against its peers.

Gold recovers modestly, stays deep in red below $4,950

Gold (XAU/USD) stages a rebound but remains deep in negative territory below $4,950 after touching its weakest level in over a week near $4,850 earlier in the day. Renewed US Dollar strength makes it difficult for XAU/USD to gather recovery momentum despite the risk-averse market atmosphere.

Canada CPI expected to show sticky inflation in January, still above BoC’s target

Economists see the headline CPI rising by 2.4% in a year to January, still above the BoC’s target and matching December’s increase. On a monthly basis, prices are expected to rise by 0.1%.

UK jobs market weakens, bolstering rate cut hopes

In the UK, the latest jobs report made for difficult reading. Nonetheless, this represents yet another reminder for the Bank of England that they need to act swiftly given the collapse in inflation expected over the coming months. 

Stellar mixed sentiment caps recovery

Stellar price remains under pressure, trading at $0.170 on Tuesday after failing to close above the key resistance on Sunday. The derivatives metric supports the bearish sentiment, with XLM’s short bets rising among traders and funding rates turning negative.