|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD bulls losing conviction below key $1761 hurdle– Confluence Detector

Gold (XAU/USD) is retreating from five-week highs, as the US dollar finds its feet amid a downbeat market mood. Growing concerns over the covid surge and vaccine side-effects dent the risk sentiment, lifting the haven demand for the greenback. Stronger US jobs data also continue to buoy the dollar.

Meanwhile, the US Treasury yields are stabilizing after a dovish blow from the FOMC minutes and Fed Chair Powell’s comments. Looking ahead the dynamics in the yields and dollar will continue to have a significant influence on gold prices.

Let’s take a look at how gold is positioned on the technical graphs.

Gold Price Chart: Key resistance and support levels

The Technical Confluences Detector shows that gold is extending its retreat after facing rejection at the critical resistance at $1761, the confluence of the previous day high, Bollinger Band one-day Upper and the previous month high.

The XAU sellers then found acceptance below the $1754 support now resistance, where the SMA5 four-hour coincides with the Fibonacci 23.6% one-day.

The next relevant support awaits at $1750; the intersection of the Fibonacci 38.2% one-day and pivot point one-week R1.

Further down, the Fibonacci 61.8% one-day at $1743 could protect the XAU buyers, below which the pivot point one-day S1 and SMA5 one-day around $1739 will get tested.

The convergence of the previous day low and the previous week high at $1735 could challenge the bearish commitments.

Alternatively, the bulls need acceptance above the $1761 barrier to unleash further upside towards the Fibonacci 161.8% one-week at $1767.

Here is how it looks on the tool

fxsoriginal

About Technical Confluences Detector

The TCD (Technical Confluences Detector) is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD softens below 1.1750 after Fed Minutes

The EUR/USD pair attracts some sellers near 1.1745 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The US Dollar edges higher against the Euro after the release of minutes from the Federal Reserve's December meeting. The US Initial Jobless Claims report will be released later in the day. Trading volumes are expected to remain thin ahead of the New Year holidays.

GBP/USD trades flat above 1.3450 amid thin trading volume

The GBP/USD pair holds steady around 1.3465 during the early Asian trading hours on Wednesday. However, the Bank of England guided that monetary policy will remain on a gradual downward path, which might underpin the Cable against the US Dollar. Financial markets are expected to trade on thin volumes as traders prepare for the New Year holiday.

Gold attempts another run toward $4,400 on final day of 2025

Gold price makes another attempt toward $4,400 in Asian trading on Tuesday, keeping the recovery mode intact following Monday's over 4% correction. The bright metal seems to cheer upbeat Chinese NBS and RatingDog Manufacturing and Services PMI data for December. 

Top Crypto Gainers: Canton, Four, Plasma rally secures double-digit gains

Canton, Four, and Plasma are the top-performing crypto assets over the last 24 hours with double-digit gains. The extended recovery in Canton is gaining traction while Four and Plasma target a decisive close above the 200-period Exponential Moving Average on the 4-hour chart.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).