Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD breaches 100-day SMA for first since March


  • Gold has found acceptance below the 100-day SMA support. 
  • The breakdown is backed by bearish readings on key indicators. 
  • A bigger decline may be in the offing.

Gold looks south, having breached the widely-tracked 100-day simple moving average (SMA) support for the first time since March 23. 

The yellow metal fell by 1.67% on Wednesday and closed below the 100-day SMA, flipping the long-term technical support into resistance. The SMA is currently located at $1,887, and the metal is trading at $1,878 per ounce. 

Wednesday's drop also marked a downside break of the ascending channel represented by trendlines connecting Sept. 28 and Oct. 14 lows and Oct. 2 and Oct. 12 highs. 

The rising channel breakdown and the 100-day SMA violation are backed by a below-50 or bearish reading on the 14-day relative strength index. Further, the MACD histogram has crossed below zero, indicating a bearish reversal. 

As such, gold could see more pronounced chart-driven selling in the short-term. The immediate support is located at $1,848 (Sept. 28 low). Alternatively, a close above Wednesday's high of $1,910 would neutralize the bearish setup. 

Daily chart

Trend: Bearish

Technical levels

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price 0.7067
Today Daily Change 0.0022
Today Daily Change % 0.31
Today daily open 0.7045
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.7133
Daily SMA50 0.7192
Daily SMA100 0.711
Daily SMA200 0.6798
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.7158
Previous Daily Low 0.7038
Previous Weekly High 0.7159
Previous Weekly Low 0.702
Previous Monthly High 0.7414
Previous Monthly Low 0.7004
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.7084
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.7112
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.7002
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.696
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6882
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.7123
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.7201
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.7243

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD stays in positive territory above 1.0850 after US data

EUR/USD stays in positive territory above 1.0850 after US data

EUR/USD clings to modest daily gains above 1.0850 in the second half of the day on Friday. The improving risk mood makes it difficult for the US Dollar to hold its ground after PCE inflation data, helping the pair edge higher ahead of the weekend.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD stabilizes above 1.2850 as risk mood improves

GBP/USD stabilizes above 1.2850 as risk mood improves

GBP/USD maintains recovery momentum and fluctuates above 1.2850 in the American session on Friday. The positive shift seen in risk mood doesn't allow the US Dollar to preserve its strength and supports the pair.

GBP/USD News

Gold rebounds above $2,380 as US yields stretch lower

Gold rebounds above $2,380 as US yields stretch lower

Following a quiet European session, Gold gathers bullish momentum and trades decisively higher on the day above $2,380. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield loses more than 1% on the day after US PCE inflation data, fuelling XAU/USD's upside.

Gold News

Avalanche price sets for a rally following retest of key support level

Avalanche price sets for a rally following retest of  key support level

Avalanche (AVAX) price bounced off the $26.34 support level to trade at $27.95 as of Friday. Growing on-chain development activity indicates a potential bullish move in the coming days.

Read more

The election, Trump's Dollar policy, and the future of the Yen

The election, Trump's Dollar policy, and the future of the Yen

After an assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump and drop out of President Biden, Kamala Harris has been endorsed as the Democratic candidate to compete against Trump in the upcoming November US presidential election.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures