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Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD bears aim for August low under $1,900

  • Gold stays heavy for third consecutive day, eyes Monday’s low of $1,882.34 as immediate support.
  • US dollar stays bullish while refreshing the highest levels since July 27.
  • American Congress avoids government shutdown in October, virus woes continue with fresh cluster in Brooklyn.
  • Global PMIs are in focus given the central bankers’ readiness for more.

Gold takes offers near $1,887.37, down 0.68% on a day, ahead of Wednesday’s European session. In doing so, the bullion seesaws near the intraday low near $1,882 while also battling the weekly low near the same level. Given the US dollar’s sustained run-up for the fourth consecutive day, to the fresh two-month high, bears are in command.

The coronavirus (COVID-19) cluster in Brooklyn can be cited as favoring the greenback’s strength. Though, the US dollar index (DXY) takes major strength from the American policymakers’ joint efforts over the stopgap funding to avoid a government shutdown as the present bill expires on September 30.

While the USD’s inverse correlation hits the yellow metal, the mixed performance of Asian stocks and the US stock futures also fails to direct the funds to the precious metals. Furthermore, COVID-19 woes at the world’s biggest gold consumers, namely India and China, dampen the sentiment of any recovery in physical demand.

On Tuesday, Wall Street cheered upbeat US data and Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s measured comments. Though, the Sino-American tension, as inferred through the United Nations (UN) General Assembly, kept challenging the risk reset, which in turn propelled the greenback.

Moving on, gold traders are waiting for preliminary readings of September month PMIs from the UK, Europe and the US for fresh impetus. However, the US dollar’s sustained strength can keep the sellers on board.

Technical analysis

Gold’s failures to bounce back beyond the seven-week-old resistance line, at $1,930 now, joins bearish MACD to direct the sellers towards August month’s low of $1,863.74. Though, a clear break below the weekly low of $1,882.34 becomes necessary. On the contrary, $1,960 could lure the bulls beyond the aforementioned resistance line, previous support.

Gold four-hour chart

Trend: Bearish

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1887.9
Today Daily Change-12.27
Today Daily Change %-0.65%
Today daily open1900.17
 
Trends
Daily SMA201943.11
Daily SMA501939.07
Daily SMA1001840.53
Daily SMA2001719.01
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1920.04
Previous Daily Low1894.79
Previous Weekly High1973.64
Previous Weekly Low1932.88
Previous Monthly High2075.32
Previous Monthly Low1863.24
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1904.44
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1910.39
Daily Pivot Point S11889.96
Daily Pivot Point S21879.75
Daily Pivot Point S31864.71
Daily Pivot Point R11915.21
Daily Pivot Point R21930.25
Daily Pivot Point R31940.46

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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