|

Gold Price Analysis: Still sideways leading into next week

  • Gold is trading 0.34% higher after another slow week.
  • The Fed did the precious metal no favours with no changes in policy.

Gold daily chart

Gold has had another tough week as the Fed disappointed the market with no real additional information about the new policies. There was one thing of now as the dot plot is now projecting the next rate rise could be in 2023. There were some outside calls for more stimulus to be added but Fed Chair Powell once again called for more help from the government in the form of fiscal stimulus. 

Looking at the chart, the key feature is the marks of lower highs and higher lows. This sideways action has been going on for a month now. The indicators are also firmly planted in the midsection. The MACD histogram and signal lines are near zero and the Relative Strength Index indicator is near 50. 

The trend is still very much an uptrend and if the key previous wave highs get broken then the uptrend could be back on. USD 1973.64 per troy ounce is the next level to watch on the upside and then beyond that, USD 2k is next. 

Overall, the market is looking to see if the recent dollar bear trend is reversing. The risk enviroment has been precarious, stocks have been moving lower toward the end of the week. Next week the PMI's are due to be released and this could give us further clarity about the state of the global economy. Another highlight will be Fed Chair Jerome Powell and US Treasury Secretary Mnuchin testify before a Senate committee. They will probably talk about the need for fiscal stimulus but you never know. 

Gold Price Analysis

Additional levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1950.48
Today Daily Change6.60
Today Daily Change %0.34
Today daily open1943.88
 
Trends
Daily SMA201944.86
Daily SMA501932.04
Daily SMA1001833.98
Daily SMA2001712.31
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1961.04
Previous Daily Low1932.88
Previous Weekly High1966.54
Previous Weekly Low1906.62
Previous Monthly High2075.32
Previous Monthly Low1863.24
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1943.64
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1950.28
Daily Pivot Point S11930.83
Daily Pivot Point S21917.77
Daily Pivot Point S31902.67
Daily Pivot Point R11958.99
Daily Pivot Point R21974.09
Daily Pivot Point R31987.15

Author

Rajan Dhall, MSTA

Rajan Dhall is an experienced market analyst, who has been trading professionally since 2007 managing various funds producing exceptional returns.

More from Rajan Dhall, MSTA
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with daily highs, retargets 1.1900

EUR/USD regains upside traction, returning to the 1.1880 zone and refocusing its attention to the key 1.1900 barrier. The pair’s slight gains comes against the backdrop of a humble decline in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess the latest US CPI readings and the potential Fed’s rate path.

GBP/USD remains well bid around 1.3650

GBP/USD maintains its upside momentum in place, hovering around daily highs near 1.3650 and setting aside part of the recent three-day drop. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the Greenback’s  irresolute price action, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborate with the uptick.

Gold clings to gains just above $5,000/oz

Gold is reclaiming part of the ground lost on Wednesday’s marked decline, as bargain-hunters keep piling up and lifting prices past the key $5,000 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s move higher is also underpinned by the slight pullback in the US Dollar and declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP in choppy price action, weighed down by falling institutional interest 

Bitcoin's upside remains largely constrained amid weak technicals and declining institutional interest. Ethereum trades sideways above $1,900 support with the upside capped below $2,000 amid ETF outflows.

Week ahead – Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

US GDP and PCE inflation are main highlights, plus the Fed minutes. UK and Japan have busy calendars too with focus on CPI. Flash PMIs for February will also be doing the rounds. RBNZ meets, is unlikely to follow RBA’s hawkish path.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.