Gold (XAU/USD) treads water around $1950, as the bulls turn cautious in the run-up to the Fed showdown. The dovish Fed expectations amid coronavirus-led economic risks and US fiscal stand-off keep the upside favored in the yellow metal.
The buyers, however, await a fresh impetus for the next push higher, especially after a volatile session seen on Tuesday. Gold rallied to life-time highs of $1981.34 before correcting sharply to $1907. The bulls fought back control, as the price settled the day above $1950 levels.
The risk trends continue to remain in play amid a broadly subdued US dollar, as it wallows near two-year lows across its main competitors and lends support to the precious metal. Let’s look at the Technical Confluences Indicator to gauge how the metal is positioned heading into the Fed decision.
Key resistances and supports
The tool shows that the bright metal is on track to test the powerful support aligned at $1937, where the pivot point one-month R3, pivot point one-week R1 and Fibonacci 61.8% one-day converge. That level will be a tough nut to crack for the sellers.
Ahead of that key support, the bears could test the downside cushion at $1943, which is the confluence of the SMA10 four-hour and SMA50 one-hour.
To the upside, the Fibonacci 38.2% one-day hurdle at $1954 offers immediate resistance. Acceptance above the latter will open doors towards $1964. The Fibonacci 23.6% one-day.
Buyers will then aim for $1972, the intersection of the Bolling Band one-hour Upper and pivot point one-week R2, en route the record highs of $1981.34 reached on Tuesday.
The path of least resistance appears to the upside amid dovish Fed expectations.
Here is how it looks on the tool
About the Confluence Detector
The TCI (Technical Confluences Indicator) is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD recovers from two-year lows, stays below 1.0450
EUR/USD recovers modestly and trades above 1.0400 after setting a two-year low below 1.0350 following the disappointing PMI data from Germany and the Eurozone on Friday. Market focus shifts to November PMI data releases from the US.
GBP/USD falls to six-month lows below 1.2550, eyes on US PMI
GBP/USD extends its losses for the third successive session and trades at a fresh fix-month low below 1.2550 on Friday. Disappointing PMI data from the UK weigh on Pound Sterling as investors await US PMI data releases.
Gold price refreshes two-week high, looks to build on momentum beyond $2,700 mark
Gold price hits a fresh two-week top during the first half of the European session on Friday, with bulls now looking to build on the momentum further beyond the $2,700 mark. This marks the fifth successive day of a positive move and is fueled by the global flight to safety amid persistent geopolitical tensions stemming from the intensifying Russia-Ukraine war.
S&P Global PMIs set to signal US economy continued to expand in November
The S&P Global preliminary PMIs for November are likely to show little variation from the October final readings. Markets are undecided on whether the Federal Reserve will lower the policy rate again in December.
Eurozone PMI sounds the alarm about growth once more
The composite PMI dropped from 50 to 48.1, once more stressing growth concerns for the eurozone. Hard data has actually come in better than expected recently – so ahead of the December meeting, the ECB has to figure out whether this is the PMI crying wolf or whether it should take this signal seriously. We think it’s the latter.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.