Gold Price Analysis: Corrective downside likely while below $1937 – Confluence Detector


Gold (XAU/USD) trades with sizeable gains so far this Monday, having recorded fresh life-time highs at $1944.76 earlier in the Asian session.

The unprecedented level of monetary and fiscal stimulus adopted by the global central banks and governments have weighed heavily on the inflation-adjusted US yields, benefiting the non-yielding gold at the expense of the US dollar.

Meanwhile, the US-China escalation has been the latest catalyst behind the latest rally in the bright metal to fresh records highs. The souring ties between the world’s two largest economies have dented the investors’ sentiment, as they seek safety in the traditional haven, gold.

Attention now turns towards the US Durable Goods Order data and performance on the global stocks for the next move in the prices. Let’s see how it is positioned technically, as indicated by the Technical Confluences Indicator.

Key resistances and supports

The tool shows that a cluster of minor support levels around $1931 limits gold’s quick retracement from the record highs. That zone is the confluence of the SMA5 one-hour, previous low one-hour and Bollinger Band 15-minutes Middle.  

A failure to resist above the aforesaid support area could expose the next support at $1924, the Bollinger Band four-hour Upper.

The bears eye the downside target at $1921.14, the previous record high. A break below the latter could accelerate the corrective downside.  

To the upside, the immediate hurdle is around $1937, this is a powerful one, as the pivot point one-month R3, pivot point one-day R3 and pivot point one-week R1 intersect there.

Acceptance above that level could put the latest all-time highs at $1944.76 back to test. The next barrier is aligned at the psychological $1950 level.

Here is how it looks on the tool

fxsoriginal

About the Confluence Detector

The Confluence Detector is an excellent handy tool to identify important resistance and support levels. Therefore, it helps to determine the path of least resistance for the asset under analysis.                                                   

Learn more about Technical Confluence

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

Australian Dollar appreciates despite stronger US Dollar, PMI awaited

Australian Dollar appreciates despite stronger US Dollar, PMI awaited

The Australian Dollar (AUD) continues to strengthen against the US Dollar (USD) following the release of mixed Judo Bank Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data from Australia on Friday. The AUD also benefits from a hawkish outlook by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) regarding future interest rate decisions. 

AUD/USD News
Japanese Yen remains on the front foot against USD, bulls seem non-committed

Japanese Yen remains on the front foot against USD, bulls seem non-committed

The Japanese Yen (JPY) attracts some buyers for the second straight day on Friday amid reviving bets for more interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan (BoJ), though it lacks any follow-through.

USD/JPY News
Gold advances to near two-week high, eyes $2,700 on geopolitical tensions

Gold advances to near two-week high, eyes $2,700 on geopolitical tensions

Gold price (XAU/USD) prolongs its uptrend for the fifth consecutive day on Friday and climbs to a nearly two-week top, around the $2,690-2,691 area during the Asian session. Intensifying Russia-Ukraine tensions force investors to take refuge in traditional safe-haven assets and turn out to be a key factor underpinning the precious metal.

Gold News
Ethereum Price Forecast: ETH open interest surge to all-time high after recent price rally

Ethereum Price Forecast: ETH open interest surge to all-time high after recent price rally

Ethereum (ETH) is trading near $3,350, experiencing an 10% increase on Thursday. This price surge is attributed to strong bullish sentiment among derivatives traders, driving its open interest above $20 billion for the first time. 

Read more
A new horizon: The economic outlook in a new leadership and policy era

A new horizon: The economic outlook in a new leadership and policy era

The economic aftershocks of the COVID pandemic, which have dominated the economic landscape over the past few years, are steadily dissipating. These pandemic-induced economic effects are set to be largely supplanted by economic policy changes that are on the horizon in the United States.

Read more
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.

Read More

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures