|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD bears seek a continuation below key daily support

  • XAU/USD prices are back under pressure and below a critical trendline on the daily chart. 
  • The swing trading opportunities are caught up in the wash of volatility.
  • A day trading strategy could offer an opportunity if price obeys market structure.

Gold prices have been in a chop, but reluctant to break higher beyond the mid-October highs, last printing a lower high on a daily basis and now breaking below the daily trendline:

Meanwhile, the bears are looking into the lower time frames for opportunities to the downside.

1-hour chart

Here, we illustrate how the XAU/USD price has reached a 50% mean reversion of the bearing impulse on the 1-hour chart.

This does not mean that the price has completed its correction, however, it is a significant development and compelling nonetheless.

At this juncture, bears can start to monitor the price action for a possible continuation to the downside. 

15-min chart

Looking at the XAU/USD chart from a 15-minute perspective, the price remains in the bullish territory until the MACD crosses below zero, or another momentum indicator of choice, and the price crosses below the 21-moving average. 

At that point, bears can monitor for a sell limit order, expecting a pullback to test what was prior support for a discount and position in a presumed continuation to the downside. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD keeps the rangebound trade near 1.1850

EUR/USD is still under pressure, drifting back towards the 1.1850 area as Monday’s session draws to a close. The modest decline in spot comes as the US Dollar picks up a bit of support, while thin liquidity and muted volatility, thanks to the US market holiday, are exaggerating price swings and keeping trading conditions choppy.
 

GBP/USD flirts with daily lows near 1.3630

GBP/USD has quickly given back Friday’s solid gains, turning lower at the start of the week and drifting back towards the 1.3630 area. The focus now shifts squarely to Tuesday’s UK labour market report, which is likely to keep the quid firmly in the spotlight and could set the tone for Cable’s next move.

Gold sticks to a negative bias below $5,000; lacks bearish conviction

Gold remains depressed for the second consecutive day and trades below the $5,000 psychological mark during the Asian session on Tuesday, as a positive risk tone is seen undermining safe-haven assets. Meanwhile, bets for more interest rate cuts by the Fed keep a lid on the recent US Dollar bounce and act as a tailwind for the non-yielding bullion, warranting caution for bearish traders ahead of FOMC minutes on Wednesday.

AI Crypto Update: Bittensor eyes breakout as AI tokens falter 

The artificial intelligence (AI) cryptocurrency segment is witnessing heightened volatility, with top tokens such as Near Protocol (NEAR) struggling to gain traction amid the persistent decline in January and February.

US CPI is cooling but what about inflation?

The January CPI data give the impression that the Federal Reserve is finally winning the war against inflation. Not only was the data cooler than expected, but it’s also beginning to edge close to the mystical 2 percent target. CBS News called it “the best inflation news we've had in months.”

XRP steadies in narrow range as fund inflows, futures interest rise

Ripple is trading in a narrow range between $1.45 (immediate support) and $1.50 (resistance) at the time of writing on Monday. The remittance token extended its recovery last week, peaking at $1.67 on Sunday from the weekly open at $1.43.